“The whole Tesla story boils down to the number of Model 3s sold and gross margins,” Gene Munster of investment firm Loup Ventures told Business Insider in October. “If you create a situation where the cash flow goes from negative to positive you can start servicing the debt.”
Major Rally Needed for Tesla
The $920 million bond payment due on March 1 includes convertible debt, so if the company’ stock is trading at or above $359.88, Tesla has the option to pay back the debt with stock as opposed to cash. The price of Tesla now currently stands at just under $300–$296.45 as of 2:15 p.m. ET–this would mean that the stock must rally over 21 percent in the next month.
“The current operating plan is to pay off our debts and not to refinance them, but to pay them off and reduce the debt load and overall leverage of the company,” said Musk during an earnings call in October 2018.
Tesla’s tenuous financial situation was certainly on the minds of Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, which hedged its 4.9 percent stake in the company.
“To the best of my knowledge, there has been no communication with PIF for months,” said Musk said in an email to the Financial Times. “I thought they had probably sold their shares. We don’t know if they own any at all.”
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