Unemployment Claims Rise, Labor Market Still Robust

“Expectations, which had declined in June and July, bounced back in August and continue to suggest solid economic growth for the remainder of 2018,” said Lynn Franco, director of economic indicators at the Conference Board. “These historically high confidence levels should continue to support health consumer spending in the near term.”

Eyes on NAFTA Deal with Canada

The markets could get a boost prior to Labor Day Weekend by a looming NAFTA deal with Canada as the country’s Foreign Affairs Minister Chrystia Freeland said that ongoing talks with the U.S. remain “constructive” despite the threat of punitive tariffs on Canadian-made cars if Canada spurns the prospect of a new North American Free Trade Agreement​ come Friday. Freeland praised Mexico’s trade concessions on autos and labor rights on Tuesday as she rejoined NAFTA talks.

The trade deal struck with Mexico on Monday would effectively eliminate the NAFTA name and would now be called The United States-Mexico Trade agreement. The Trump administration was pushing for a revamp of the NAFTA agreement prior to December 1 when Mexico turns over its leadership to the incoming administration of President-elect Andrés Manuel López Obrador.

The bilateral U.S.-Mexico deal announced on Monday gives U.S. President Donald Trump the right to impose 25% tariffs on imports of Mexican-made passenger vehicles. If Trump proceeds with the tariffs, Mexican duty-free exports of cars and sport-utility vehicles to the U.S. would have a cap of 2.4 million vehicles per year.

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