BUZZ Investing: AI Stocks are Saving the Market

With the utility of AI no longer up for debate, semiconductor chip companies emerge as the early beneficiaries of the ongoing ‘AI revolution.’

Technology-oriented equities gained during the recent period between Index selection dates (May 11, 2023 – June 8, 2023, the “Period”), driven by growth prospects fueled by optimistic expectations related to the ongoing ‘AI revolution.’ The narrative gained momentum after Nvidia Corp (NASD: NVDA) reported Q1 results that easily surpassed most analyst estimates, propelling the stock to new highs and making it the ninth company, and the first chipmaker, to achieve a valuation exceeding $1 trillion. Positively shifting investor sentiments overshadowed concerns about a potential US default as debt ceiling negotiations escalated between Democratic President Joe Biden and Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, who together announced the framework for a resolution just before the June 5th deadline for a deal.

The BUZZ NextGen AI US Sentiment Leaders Index (the “BUZZ Index” or “Index”) returned 7.36% during the month of May compared to a return of 0.43% for the S&P 500 Index during the same period. Year-to-date, the BUZZ Index leads the S&P 500 with returns of 26.80% and 9.65%, respectively, as of the end of May.

Shares of Palantir Technologies Inc. Pace Advancing Stocks within the BUZZ Index

Technology-oriented shares that focus on Artificial Intelligence applications paced advancing stocks within the BUZZ Index during the recent Period. Seven of the ten top contributors to performance came from stocks that carried a full 3% maximum weight following the most recent May 2023 BUZZ Index rebalance and reconstitution, including Palantir Technologies Inc (NYSE: PLTR)NVIDIA Corp (NASD: NVDA)Tesla Inc (NASD: TSLA)Advanced Micro Devices Inc (NASD: AMD)Netflix Inc (NASD: NFLX)Meta Platforms Inc (NASD: META), and Amazon.com Inc (NASD: AMZN). PLTR’s shares demonstrated an impressive surge of 53.7% during the Period, reflecting growing investor confidence in the company’s leading position within the generative AI sector. Some market observers noted that PLTR is uniquely positioned to capitalize on its strong relationships with both government agencies, which account for 56% of its revenue, and commercial customers, which contribute the remaining 44%. Notably, PLTR’s recently introduced Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) empowers customers to harness the power of large language models (LLMs) on their proprietary data, seamlessly delivered through an interactive chatbot interface to enhance their user experience.

Top BUZZ Index Contributors: May 11, 2023 – June 8, 2023
Company Ticker Average Weight (%) Return Contribution (%)
Palantir Technologies Inc PLTR 3.54 1.53
NVIDIA Corp NVDA 3.53 1.10
Tesla Inc TSLA 3.14 1.07
Advanced Micro Devices Inc AMD 3.37 0.79
Netflix Inc NFLX 2.75 0.45
Charles Schwab Corp/The SCHW 2.76 0.42
Meta Platforms Inc META 3.16 0.39
Amazon.com Inc AMZN 3.11 0.34
Enphase Energy Inc ENPH 2.39 0.33
Carnival Corp CCL 1.21 0.31

 

Source: BUZZ Holdings ULC, Bloomberg. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Index performance is not illustrative of fund performance. Not intended as a recommendation to buy or to sell any of the securities mentioned herein.

The top detractors to performance were led by Lucid Group Inc (NASD LCID), whose shares fell 11% during the Period. The maker of luxury electric vehicles announced plans for a public stock offering and a separate private placement to raise about $3.0 billion in gross proceeds. Shares of LCID were down over 8% on a year-to-date basis as of the selection date for the June BUZZ Index rebalance and reconstitution, a stark contrast to rival TSLA, whose shares have gained over 90% during the same period.

Bottom BUZZ Index Contributors: May 11, 2023 – June 8, 2023
Company Ticker Average Weight (%) Return Contribution (%)
Lucid Group Inc LCID 2.69 -0.34
Agilent Technologies Inc A 1.75 -0.29
Coinbase Global Inc COIN 2.73 -0.26
Shopify Inc SHOP 1.51 -0.09
AT&T Inc T 0.77 -0.05
SoFi Technologies Inc SOFI 0.64 -0.04
Verizon Communications Inc VZ 0.45 -0.04
First Solar Inc FSLR 0.33 -0.03
Starbucks Corp SBUX 0.55 -0.03
Visa Inc V 0.67 -0.03

 

Source: BUZZ Holdings ULC, Bloomberg. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Index performance is not illustrative of fund performance. Not intended as a recommendation to buy or to sell any of the securities mentioned herein.

Sentiment Stock Highlight – Target Corp

Target Corp (NYSE: TGT) has been at the center of a socio-political controversy in recent weeks, with a clash between left and right-wing ideologies on full display. The retailer, a long-time celebrater of Pride month, rolled out its collection of Pride-themed merchandise across its stores in the US earlier in May. This year’s rollout was met with strong opposition, particularly in areas that lean right-wing conservative, with incidents of employees feeling threatened by customer complaints. In response, Target pulled certain products and relocated others to stores’ backs, prompting backlash from left-wing advocate groups. The stock has been punished amid the controversy, declining more than 20% over the past month. On the other hand, sentiment on the stock has jumped significantly as investors appear to be looking past the publicity generated from the incident with a view that the stock may recover once the controversy subsides. This month, TGT re-enters the BUZZ Index with a maximum of 3% weight.

Target Inc Stock Price | January 2017 – June 2023

Target Inc Stock Price | January 2017 - June 2023

Source: BUZZ Holdings ULC, Bloomberg. Past performance is no guarantee of future results. Index performance is not illustrative of fund performance. Not intended as a recommendation to buy or to sell any of the securities mentioned herein.

BUZZ Index June 2023 Rebalance Highlights

Semiconductor Companies

Recently, the hottest narrative in the markets has been the emergence of Artificial Intelligence (AI). Like the Blockchain craze in recent years, the hype around the new technology has led to a surge in AI-related stocks. However, unlike Blockchain, AI has either been already integrated or is close to being deployed in the products of the tech industry’s largest companies. Within months of OpenAI releasing ChatGPT to the world, many companies have already begun building it into mainstream applications and software. Alphabet (NASD: GOOGL) even released its own version, Google Bard. With more real-life applications constantly being discovered and transformed, the utility of AI is no longer up for debate. Chip manufacturers such as NVIDIA (NASD: NVDA) and Advanced Micro Devices (NASD: AMD) have been the biggest beneficiaries, with NVDA establishing itself at the forefront of delivering AI-specific chips. Shares of NVDA have erased all of their 2022 losses and are making new all-time highs. Broadcom (NASD: AVGO) and Marvell Technology (NASD: MRVL), two lesser-discussed semiconductors producers, have also greatly benefited. This month, both AVGO and MRVL are among the top new entrants in the BUZZ Index, with each entering at a 1.33% weight.

For more on rebalancing results and a full breakdown of index constituents added and removed for the month, view the BUZZ Index reconstitution report.

Originally published by VanEck on June 28, 2023.

For more news, information, and analysis, visit the Beyond Basic Beta Channel.


Important Disclosures

Company data is the source for all particular company information quoted.

Definitions: The S&P 500 is a stock market index of 500 of the largest companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States. The Nasdaq Composite Index is a stock market index that consists of the stocks that are listed on the Nasdaq stock exchange. S&P Banks Select Industry Index comprises stocks in the S&P Total Market Index classified in the GICS asset management & custody banks, diversified banks, regional banks, other diversified financial services and thrifts & mortgage finance sub-industries. Markit CDX North America High Yield Index represents one hundred liquid North American entities with high yield credit ratings as published by Markit. COBE VIX Index is a real-time market index representing the market’s expectations for volatility over the coming 30 days.

This is not an offer to buy or sell, or a recommendation to buy or sell any of the securities/financial instruments mentioned herein. The information presented does not involve the rendering of personalized investment, financial, legal, or tax advice. Certain statements contained herein may constitute projections, forecasts and other forward looking statements, which do not reflect actual results, are valid as of the date of this communication and subject to change without notice. Information provided by third party sources are believed to be reliable and have not been independently verified for accuracy or completeness and cannot be guaranteed. VanEck does not guarantee the accuracy of 3rd party data. The information herein represents the opinion of the author(s), but not necessarily those of VanEck.

An investment in the Fund may be subject to risks which include, among others, risks related to social media analytics, equity securities, medium-capitalization companies, information technology sector, communication services sector, consumer discretionary sector, market, operational, high portfolio turnover, index tracking, authorized participant concentration, no guarantee of active trading market, trading issues, passive management, fund shares trading, premium/discount and liquidity of fund shares, non-diversified and index-related concentration risks, all of which may adversely affect the Fund. Medium-capitalization companies may be subject to elevated risks.

Investing in companies based on social media analytics involves the potential risk of market manipulation because social media posts may be made with an intent to inflate, or otherwise manipulate, the public perception of a company stock or other investment. Although the Sentiment Leaders Index provider attempts to mitigate the potential risk of such manipulation by employing screens to identify posts which may be computer generated or deceptive and by employing market capitalization and trading volume criteria to remove companies which may be more likely targets for such manipulation, there is no guarantee that the Sentiment Leaders Index’s model will successfully reduce such risk. Furthermore, text and sentiment analysis of social media postings may prove inaccurate in predicting a company’s stock performance.

An investor cannot invest directly in an index. Returns reflect past performance and do not guarantee future results. Results reflect the reinvestment of dividends and capital gains, if any. Certain indices may take into account withholding taxes. Index returns do not represent Fund returns. The Index does not charge management fees or brokerage expenses, nor does the Index lend securities, and no revenues from securities lending were added to the performance shown.

BUZZ NextGen AI US Sentiment Leaders Index (the “BUZZ Index”) is a product of BUZZ Holdings ULC (“BUZZ Holdings”), and has been licensed to Van Eck Associates Corporation for use in connection with the VanEck Social Sentiment ETF.

BUZZ” is a trademark of BUZZ Holdings, which has been licensed by Van Eck Associates Corporation for use in connection with the BUZZ Index.

VanEck Social Sentiment ETF is not sponsored, endorsed, sold or promoted by BUZZ Holdings, or its shareholders, or the licensor of the BUZZ Index and/or its affiliates and third party licensors. BUZZ Holdings makes no representation or warranty, express or implied, to the owners of the VanEck Social Sentiment ETF or any member of the public regarding the advisability of investing in securities generally or in VanEck Social Sentiment ETF, particularly or the ability of the BUZZ Index to track general market performance.

BUZZ Holdings’ only relationship to Van Eck Associates Corporation with respect to the BUZZ Index is the licensing of the BUZZ Index and certain trademarks of BUZZ Holdings. The BUZZ Holdings are determined and composed by BUZZ Holdings without regard to Van Eck Associates Corporation or the VanEck Social Sentiment ETF. BUZZ Holdings has no obligation to take the needs of Van Eck Associates Corporation or the owners of VanEck Social Sentiment ETF into consideration in determining and composing the BUZZ Index.

BUZZ Holdings are not responsible for and have not participated in the determination of the prices of VanEck Social Sentiment ETF or the timing of the issuance or sale of securities of VanEck Social Sentiment ETF or in the determination or calculation of the equation by which VanEck Social Sentiment ETF securities may be converted into cash, surrendered, or redeemed, as the case may be. BUZZ Holdings have no obligation or liability in connection with the administration, marketing or trading of VanEck Social Sentiment ETF. There is no assurance that investment products based on the BUZZ Index will accurately track index performance or provide positive investment returns. BUZZ Holdings is not an investment advisor and the inclusion of a security in the BUZZ Index is not a recommendation by BUZZ Holdings to buy, sell, or hold such security, nor should it be considered investment advice.

BUZZ HOLDINGS DOES NOT GUARANTEE THE ADEQUACY, ACCURACY, TIMELINESS AND/OR THE COMPLETENESS OF THE BUZZ INDEX OR ANY DATA RELATED THERETO OR ANY COMMUNICATION WITH RESPECT THERETO, INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, ORAL OR WRITTEN COMMUNICATION (INCLUDING ELECTRONIC COMMUNICATIONS). BUZZ HOLDINGS SHALL NOT BE SUBJECT TO ANY DAMAGES OR LIABILITY FOR ANY ERRORS, OMISSIONS, OR DELAYS THEREIN. BUZZ HOLDINGS MAKES NO EXPRESS OR IMPLIED WARRANTIES, AND EXPRESSLY DISCLAIMS ALL WARRANTIES, OF MERCHANTABILITY OR FITNESS FOR A PARTICULAR PURPOSE OR USE OR AS TO RESULTS TO BE OBTAINED BY Van Eck Associates Corporation, OWNERS OF THE VanEck Social Sentiment ETF, OR ANY OTHER PERSON OR ENTITY FROM THE USE OF THE BUZZ INDEX OR WITH RESPECT TO ANY DATA RELATED THERETO. WITHOUT LIMITING ANY OF THE FOREGOING, IN NO EVENT WHATSOEVER SHALL BUZZ HOLDINGS BE LIABLE FOR ANY INDIRECT, SPECIAL, INCIDENTAL, PUNITIVE, OR CONSEQUENTIAL DAMAGES INCLUDING BUT NOT LIMITED TO, LOSS OF PROFITS, TRADING LOSSES, LOST TIME OR GOODWILL, EVEN IF THEY HAVE BEEN ADVISED OF THE POSSIBILITY OF SUCH DAMAGES, WHETHER IN CONTRACT, TORT, STRICT LIABILITY, OR OTHERWISE. THERE ARE NO THIRD PARTY BENEFICIARIES OF ANY AGREEMENTS OR ARRANGEMENTS BETWEEN BUZZ HOLDINGS AND Van Eck Associates Corporation, OTHER THAN THE LICENSORS OF BUZZ HOLDINGS.

Effective August 18, 2016, BUZZ Indexes Inc. implemented changes to the BUZZ NextGen AI US Sentiment Leaders Index construction rules. The index constituent count was increased from 25 to 75 stocks and the maximum constituent weight was reduce from 15% to 3%. These change may result in more a diversified exposure to index constituents than under the rules in effect prior to this date. Past performance is no guarantee of future results.

The S&P 500® Index is a product of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates and has been licensed for use by Van Eck Associates Corporation. Copyright © 2023 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global, Inc., and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Redistribution or reproduction in whole or in part are prohibited without written permission of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC. For more information on any of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC’s indices please visit https://www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/. S&P® is a registered trademark of S&P Global and Dow Jones® is a registered trademark of Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC. Neither S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, their affiliates nor their third party licensors make any representation or warranty, express or implied, as to the ability of any index to accurately represent the asset class or market sector that it purports to represent and neither S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, Dow Jones Trademark Holdings LLC, their affiliates nor their third party licensors shall have any liability for any errors, omissions, or interruptions of any index or the data included therein.

Investing involves substantial risk and high volatility, including possible loss of principal. An investor should consider the investment objective, risks, charges and expenses of a Fund carefully before investing. To obtain a prospectus and summary prospectus, which contain this and other information, call 800.826.2333 or visit vaneck.com. Please read the prospectus and summary prospectus carefully before investing.

Van Eck Securities Corporation, Distributor, a wholly owned subsidiary of Van Eck Associates Corporation.

© 2023 VanEck. VanEck®, VanEck Access the opportunities®, and the stylized VanEck design® are trademarks of Van Eck Associates Corporation.