The iShares MSCI Mexico Capped ETF (NYSEArca: EWW), an ETF that tracks the investment results of the MSCI Mexico IMI 25/50 Index and is the largest Mexico-focused ETF based on assets, is up 0.23 percent today, but questions remain as to whether it can sustain its upward trajectory.

The ETF is up 7.13 percent year-to-date, but the price may be hitting a ceiling as the 5-day performance chart is showing early signs of flattening.

Can Mexico ETF Continue to Climb? 1Mexico President is Key Driver

Mexico just recently changed leadership, opting to elect controversial leftist candidate Andrés Manuel López Obrador (AMLO) as its next president. Obrador’s election sparked controversy, but public opinion may be swaying towards his side as the LA Times reported that “little more than a week he has gone from being denounced as a looming threat to stability, a Mexican incarnation of the late Venezuelan leftist firebrand Hugo Chavez, to being the darling of Mexico.”

With trade concerns weighing on the minds of investors, one key driver will be Obrador’s relationship with U.S. President Donald Trump. The U.S. imposed duties on aluminum and steel, affecting NAFTA members that include Mexico.

Mexico responded with its own tariff of 10 percent on U.S. pork products, which will rise to 20 percent by July. However, if Trump and the newly-installed Obrador can iron out any trade differences between their respective nations, EWW may benefit.

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