“You’re starting to hear talk of oil shock. There is little confidence in the market that we’re going to escape an ever-tightening supply and demand balance now,” said John Kilduff, co-founder at energy hedge fund Again Capital.
Bullish Outlook for Oil
Disruptions in supply caused investment firms like Morgan Stanley to raise their price forecasts from $77.50 to $85 per barrel. Morgan Stanley now expects shipments to drop by 1.1 million bpd by the end of the year after previous forecasts saw the Iranian sanctions wiping out 700,000 bpd through 2019.
Oil ETFs have benefitted from the price boost the past five days–in that timeframe, United States Oil (NYSEArca: USO) is up 1.7 percent, ProShares Ultra Bloomberg Crude Oil (UCO) is up large at 19.2 percent and Invesco DB Oil (DBO) is up three percent.
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