That may seem like a pretty confident statement, but consider that numbers usually don’t lie:
• One-quarter of exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows in the first 11 months of 2013—$41 billion—went into ETFs characterized as smart beta by Morningstar. Total assets in smart beta ETFs as of that point in time stood at $271 billion, approximately 17% of the total assets in ETFs.1
• According to a new study conducted by Cogent Research (a division of Market Strategies International), more than half (53%) of institutional decision makers will increase their use of smart beta ETFs over the next three years—that’s more than any other ETF category, including market capitalization-weighted ETFs (48%).2
These two statistics alone could make smart beta the largest category of ETFs—and a primary driver of ETF growth going forward. And if this type of explosive growth continues, ETF assets could match equity mutual funds in assets under management (currently at $7.6 trillion)3 in less than a decade.
Now, while we don’t believe smart beta is a trend, we do believe that investors should beware of asset managers and investments that may be jumping on this bandwagon—capitalizing on smart marketing rather than smarter investment methods.
In our opinion, when it comes to identifying smart beta ETFs, investors should look for:
• A rules-based, repeatable methodology that offers broad, representative exposure to an asset class