Oil Moves Higher on EIA Inventory Decline

The Energy Information Administration reported a decline in crude oil inventory of 3.9 million barrels for the week to March 8 as opposed to a build of 7.1 million barrels a week earlier, helping oil prices to move higher.

For traders looking to capitalize on the move with extra leverage, the Direxion Daily S&P Oil & Gas Exploration & Production Bull 3X ETF (NYSEArca: GUSH) gained 5.08 percent as of 3:30 p.m. ET.

According to the EIA, refineries processed crude at an average daily rate of 16 million barrels, which was unchanged from the amount a week earlier.

Oil prices faced downward pressure when U.S. President Donald Trump’s tweeted earlier this year on high oil prices, taking aim at the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC).

“Trump is yelling at OPEC, but Trump’s been the most effective cutter” said Helima Croft, head of global commodities strategy at RBC.

Oil dropped as much as 40 percent during the fourth quarter of 2018, but Saudi Arabia pared back its production near the end of the year. Additionally, supply disruptions came about after the Trump administration blocked oil shipments to and from Venezuela as the country faces tenuous political stability.

In December 2018, lengthy Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) discussions finally came to a conclusion, resulting in a larger-than-expected production cut. OPEC and associated partners agreed to cut 1.2 million barrels per day with OPEC being responsible for 800,000 barrels.

According to some firms, more bullishness could be ahead for oil prices in the near-term before an eventual ceiling spurred by a “New Oil Order” puts a cap on price spikes.

Related: Can the Energy Sector Rally Again?

“This will shake up international oil and gas trade flows, with profound implications for the geopolitics of energy,” said Fatih Birol, the IEA’s Executive Director. “Everywhere we look, new actors are emerging and past certainties are fading. This is the case in both the upstream and the downstream sector. And it’s particularly true for the United States, by far the stand-out champion of global supply growth.”

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