There is no shortage of ambitious or dismissive Bitcoin price forecasts. Yet some market observers believe the largest cryptocurrency can ascend to $75,000 or $80,000 this year.
From there, it’s not hard to find some analysts calling for $100,000 or $150,000 in relatively short order. However, at least one research firm believes Bitcoin can surge to $400,000, and do so by 2025. That would be appreciation of more than 7x from current levels.
Using the investment analysis model stock-to-flow ratio, Los Angeles-based investment management company Wave Financial says Bitcoin can do just that.
“One of the most interesting parts of our report, released in late February 2021, is the illustration of how the stock-to-flow ratio was used to accurately predict the movement of the bitcoin price from $4,000 in March 2019 to about $50,000 in February 2021,” says the research firm in a post on Bitcoin Magazine. “Stock-to-flow ratio is primarily a gold valuation model. The fact that it works better on bitcoin than most of the other models gives credence to the belief of many that bitcoin is digital gold.”
Catalysts for Bitcoin
Bitcoin is in a bit of a slump, but it remains a compelling asset and one that’s garnering increasing attention in the professional investment community. Pros are also casting a wide net when it comes to forecasting the cryptocurrency’s price.
Supply of Bitcoin is dwindling because institutional investors are piling into the market, and many retail investors are holding onto the cryptocurrency for longer periods of time.
Bitcoin halving will play a role in further price appreciation.
“In 2024, the bitcoin subsidy, the new coins released to circulation, will reduce from 6.25 BTC approximately every ten minutes to 3.125 BTC. In 2020, the mining subsidy dropped from 12.5 BTC. The subsidy halving happens every four years, making bitcoin a deflationary asset, which we believe is one of the main bullish drivers of its price,” according to Wave Financial.
And don’t forget about corporate adoption.
“Meanwhile, increasingly, mainstream corporate entities and investment firms have embraced bitcoin as a reserve asset,” adds the research firm. “For example, MicroStrategy, a Virginia-based tech company, has taken the lead on this path. The company, founded by Michael Saylor and Banju Bansal in 1989, HODLs about 90,859 bitcoin, worth over $2.186 billion. The company’s latest addition to its holding was a late February purchase of an additional 328 bitcoin for about $15 million at an average price of $45,710 a bitcoin.”
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The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.