Livestock-related exchange traded notes have been among the worst performing commodity investments this year, but after a recent steep sell-off, some traders see a buying opportunity.
The livestock-related ETNs have been underperforming in 2016, with COW down 17.3% and UBC 14.4% lower year-to-date. Over the past week, COW fell 7.1% and UBC declined 5.8%, which sent both ETNs trading into oversold territory as indicated by the relative strength index – a technical momentum indicator that compares the magnitude of recent gains and losses over time.
The livestock category has been selling off on signs that supply continued to outpace consumer demand, with cattle futures breaking below the psychological $1 per pound for the first time since November 2010 in response to the steep decline in boxed beef prices, which also fell to its lowest since December 2015.
“It’s all falling apart,” Tim Hackbarth, analyst at brokerage the Zaner Group, told The Western Producer. “Technically oversold or not, (live cattle) probably have a little work to do to the downside.”[related_stories]
Livestock futures, though, rebounded Wednesday on what could be a technical trade. Live cattle futures gained 2.7% with price now hovering around $1.027 per pound, feeder cattle futures rose 2.5% and lean hog futures advanced 2.8%.