Could Financial Services be Vulnerable to a Clinton Presidency?

Throughout this presidential election year, investors have heard plenty about which sectors could thrive and which ones could struggle depending upon which candidate wins the White House. Healthcare has gotten plenty of press as being potentially vulnerable in a scenario in a which Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton wins the presidency.

Exchange traded funds such as the iShares Nasdaq Biotechnology ETF (NasdaqGM: IBB) and the SPDR S&P Biotech ETF (NYSEArca: XBI) were hit last week following Clinton’s comments on Mylan’a (NasdaqGS: MYL) EpiPen prices. This was the third time over the past year that Clinton’s comments upended drug stocks. The presidential runner has repeatedly censured aggressive drug pricing. With most polls giving her a wide margin over Republican nominee Donald Trump, the markets are taking Clinton’s words more seriously.

SEE MORE: Clinton Delivers Poison Pill To Biotech ETFs

However, some market observers believe another sector could also come under pressure if Clinton wins in November: Financial services, the S&P 500’s second-largest sector allocation.

“According to LPL Financial research, there’s a connection between the rising odds of Clinton clinching the election and banks’ performance relative to the S&P 500 suffering,” according to CNBC.


Looking at the fed-fund futures, options traders placed a 30% probability of a rate hike in September, compared to a 21% chance last Thursday. Meanwhile, the odds of a rate hike by the end of the year were close to 60%. That last statistic helped ETFs such as the Financial Select Sector SPDR (NYSEArca: XLF) and the Vanguard Financials ETF (NYSEArca: VFH) rally Monday.