Many of this year’s best-performing exchange traded funds track gold mining equities, a group that includes the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEArca: GDX) and the VanEck Vectors Gold Miners ETF (NYSEArca: GDXJ), the two largest gold miners ETFs.
As has been previously documented, most of the best-performing non-leveraged ETF this year are gold and silver miners ETFs, a group that includes GDX and GDXJ. The rapid rise of these ETFs and their rivals has some market observers questioning whether near-term pullbacks are looming.
Of course, what is good for GDX and GDXJ is excellent for the Direxion Daily Gold Miners Bull 3X Shares (NYSEArca: NUGT) and the Direxion Daily Junior Gold Miners Index Bull 3X Shares (NYSEArca: JNUG). However, investors might want to apply some caution to these ETFs over the near-term.
“Short-term trades are just that — short-term — and smart traders try to lock in their gains before they’re gone. That’s not just the case in leveraged instruments, but plain, straight-forward gold trades as well. All of that creates selling pressure that helps swing leveraged funds like JNUG and NUGT to the downside,” according to InvestorPlace.
Strategists point out that costs keep rising, which has narrowed profit margins among gold miners. Recent mine closures have not improved margins. Current mining operations are also facing deteriorating ore grades. The recent decline in energy prices and depreciating currencies where local miners operate have also had minimal beneficial impact on cash costs.