Pros Bet on More Upside for Yen Safe-Haven Currency

The negative yield on a bond essentially means people are paying for the privilege of lending to the Japanese government. With yields now down into the negative territory, it also suggests that there is continued demand for JGBs. Investors’ thirst for JGBs could keep a lid on equities, but obviously the options market sees things differently.

“The yen has rallied against 15 of its 16 major peers this year, benefiting from a spell of risk aversion that roiled financial markets on concern China’s slowdown may damp global economic growth. The currency shook off a central-bank decision to cut interest rates into negative territory in January, forcing strategists including Barclays Plc, the world’s third-largest currency trader, to change their forecasts,” according to Bloomberg.

In an effort to prop its local equity market, the Bank of Japan said earlier this year it would buy ETFs that track the JPX-Nikkei 400 Index. The JPX-Nikkei 400 Index was launched in January 2014 as a means of revitalizing the Japanese equity market. The JPX-Nikkei 400 Index employs a rigorous screening process based on return on equity, cumulative operating profit and market capitalization to  select high-quality, capital-efficient Japanese companies.

CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust