• Upward Slope = Strength in Small Caps: In both cases, Europe and the U.S., an upward slope signifies relative strength in small caps measured against large caps.
• European Small Caps Have Delivered vs. European Large Caps: What’s clear is that the ratios built to depict the relative strength of small caps vs. large caps in the European and U.S. equity markets start at the same place—1.00. As of April 10, 2015, the line showing the relative strength of European small caps vs. large caps was closing in on 1.20, whereas the same line for the U.S. was below 1.00. While there is no way to predict the future, this does show that dipping down in the market capitalization spectrum in Europe has delivered a greater reward than doing so in the U.S. over this particular period.
Bottom Line: Don’t Forget About European Small Caps
After it became clear that June 6, 2014, was the top of a nearly two-year upward trend in European small caps, the asset class shifted out of focus on the way to an ultimate peak-to-trough decline of almost 21%4 . What has gotten much less attention is the fact that, as of April 10, 2015, European small caps had only about 6% further to appreciate to regain their June 6, 2014, level.
Don’t forget that the last sustained rally in European small caps lasted almost two years—and that was while we were still debating whether or not a QE program could even happen.
The WisdomTree Europe SmallCap Dividend Index (referred to within this piece as European small caps) is designed for a broad exposure to small-cap European equities. It includes exposure to European currencies like the euro, British pound and Swiss franc, as well as exposure to the equities.
Unless otherwise noted, data source is Bloomberg.
Throughout this piece, “European small caps” refers to the WisdomTree SmallCap Dividend Index universe, “European large caps” refers to the FTSE Developed Europe Index, “U.S. small caps” refers to the Russell 2000 Index and “U.S. large caps” refers to the S&P 500 Index.
1Source: Bloomberg.
2Source for all bullets: Bloomberg, from 7/26/12 to 6/6/14. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
3Source for all bullets: Bloomberg, from 1/22/15 to 4/10/15. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
4Source: Bloomberg.
Important Risks Related to this Article
Investments focused in Europe are increasing the impact of events and developments associated with the region, which can adversely affect performance.
Investments focusing on certain sectors and/or smaller companies increase their vulnerability to any single economic or regulatory development.