ETF Trends
ETF Trends

We tend to think about retirement, naturally enough, in terms of saving. And as we get closer to the day we plan to retire, we start to think about retirement spending – or at least we should. But a disconnect happens for most people when they try to match what they have saved to what they think they’ll need to cover their living expenses in retirement.

The reason is that throughout our working lives, income and spending are paired together. We know how much we make, and therefore we know that our spending should be equal to or (preferably) less than our income. When it comes to retirement, relating the lump sum in our savings accounts to spending is neither simple nor clear.

How Much Dough for a Cup of Joe?

Here’s an example: What if I told you that $9,701 for a cup of coffee is a good deal? Before you decide I’m crazy, consider this scenario:

Let’s say you are 55 and one of your favorite things to do on weekends is walk to your local coffee shop, buy a large cup and chat with friends. When you think about retirement, which you plan to do at 65, you imagine doing this every day. How much will that cost? Let’s assume that today your coffee costs $1.95 per cup. And for simplicity’s sake, let’s remove inflation from the equation and assume the price of your cup will not change. That means:

  • Each year of coffee will cost $711.75.
  • Ten years of coffee will cost $7,117.50.
  • If your retirement lasts 30 years, you will eventually spend $21,352.50.

Fortunately, you don’t need all $21K at once. But how much do you need to save before you retire to fund your daily cup of coffee?  You could use any number of financial tools to calculate the rate of return on a given savings amount and a drawdown rate that may deliver $711.75 a year.

I did something simpler; I used CoRI. (Full disclosure, it’s a BlackRock tool.) If you are 55 to 64, you can check CoRI daily for the estimated cost of a dollar of annual lifetime income beginning at age 65. (Check the CoRI site if you are interested in how the tool works.) Let’s say based on your age of 55, today’s estimated cost per dollar of future income (beginning at age 65) is $13.63.

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