An exchange traded fund tracking Greece’s stock market recovered 5% on Tuesday from its record low and should continue to see plenty of volatility leading up to the pivotal election in June.
Global X FTSE Greece 20 ETF (NYSEArca: GREK) was down about 33% year to date heading into Tuesday’s action on worries the financially troubled country will leave the euro.
“Financial markets this week will continue to focus on Europe and particularly Greece in the run-up to the June 17 election. The problems of Greece are well known. The nation is in an economic depression with an overall unemployment rate of 22% and output falling fast,” says JP Morgan Funds chief market strategist David Kelly. “However, in return for financial aid, Greece’s European neighbors are demanding further austerity to reduce their budget deficit.”
Greece is set to hold a second election in mid-June that could derail the European bailout.
“For now, the views of Greek voters seem to be trending in the direction European leaders would like, whether as a result of quiet outside pressure or the realization that a vote for the far-left really could mean an exit from the euro, a currency that the vast majority of Greeks like and want to keep,” Reuters reported Tuesday.
Greece’s economic problems, which also include tax evasion, have not been solved although it was the first country to boil over in the Eurozone sovereign debt crisis. Its equity market is down more than 90% since the peak in 2007.
“Given how volatile the country’s markets have been since 2007, and given that its debt situation and subsequent austerity measures still have not been resolved, this exchange traded fund is by no means a buy-and-hold vehicle,” says Morningstar analyst Robert Goldsborough in a report on GREK, the Greece ETF.