Four Country ETFs Bucking the Downtrend | Page 2 of 2 | ETF Trends

Global X FTSE Colombia 20 ETF (NYSEArca: GXG) is up 23% year-to-date. Over the past three years, the fund has produced a 35% annualized growth. This year, the mining and oil sectors are fueling the country’s currency and economy. The country is expected to expand 4.7% this year and 4.4% in 2013, with moderate inflation of 3.1% to 3.5%. [Latin American ETFs to Spice Up Your Portfolio]

IShares MSCI Philippines Investable Market Index (NYSEArca: EPHE) is up 20% year-to-date. Unemployment is at a 22-year low of 7%. The large young population is also driving domestic consumption, which makes up about 75% of the economy. The Philippines’ reliance on domestic growth, rather than exports, will help shield the economy from any global contractions. The government expects the economy to grow 8% in 2012. However, the IMF projects a 4.2% expansion this year and 4.7% in 2013, with moderate inflation of 3.4%.

“Their debt-to-GDP ratio is low, and with a real interest rate of 3%, they have the flexibility to respond to weakness with monetary accommodation,” Tony Welch, emerging market analyst at Ned Davis Research, said in the article. “Most importantly, the Philippines has been a relatively low-beta (volatility) market over the past three years, making it a good place to hide when we are in the midst of a market consolidation phase.”

iShares MSCI Thailand Investable Market Index (NYSEArca: THD) is up 16% year-to-date. Thailand is in full recovery mode after last year’s floods hit 84% of the country. This year, GDP is expected to expand 5% and 7.5% in 2013.

“Markets are discounting that the worst is behind Thailand, and growth should resume as more and more factories get up and running from the flooding disaster,” Welch said.

Market Vectors Vietnam (NYSEArca: VNM) is up 35% year-to-date. The Vietnamese market may be starting to recover from its five-year fall or beginning a countertrend rally in a longer downtrend. Nevertheless, the ETF is trading at a cheap valuation with price-to-earnings of 9.7, compared to the 11.1 for the whole emerging markets category. The IMF estimates the economy will grow 5.6% in 2012 and 6.3% in 2013, but inflation may still remain around 13% for a few years. [Vietnam Index ETF: Risks and Rewards]