How Much Bounce Left in S&P 500 ETFs? | ETF Trends

Stock exchange traded funds were higher for the third straight day on Monday following the big breakdown from late July and early August.

For investors, the question is whether this is an oversold bounce before more pain, or if the path is open for perhaps a test of the 2011 high.

“Even though equities are slipping into bear markets, and key charts are damaged, such as the death-cross discussed Friday, the current oversold bounce may have further to run,” said Tarquin Coe, technical analyst at Investors Intelligence. [ETF Analyst: I See Death Crosses]

“The oversold bounce soon after the 2007 head-and-shoulders on the S&P 500 lasted weeks with a throwback all the way back to the underside of that top. If that repeats this time around, the index could correct all the way back up to 1260,” Coe wrote in a newsletter Monday. “A similar dead-cat bounce also followed the May flash-crash last year. The index remains vulnerable but we need to allow for the potential of a further correction of the oversold condition.”

SPDR S&P 500 ETF (NYSEArca: SPY) and iShares S&P 500 (NYSEArca: IVV) were up 1.6% at last check Monday as Google’s (NasdaqGS: GOOG) deal to buy Motorola Mobility (NYSE: MMI) for $12.5 billion helped lift markets.