China’s gross domestic product positively soared in the first quarter, dusting economists’ expectations. Such growth begs two questions: how can you invest in China using exchange traded funds (ETFs), and is it too late? Read on for the answers.
China’s GDP accelerated in the first quarter from a year earlier by 11.9%. Even the most pessimistic forecasts called for a 10.7% rate of expansion, so this news was greeted with both jubilation and surprise. The growth has mostly been driven by stimulus spending. Digging down into the numbers, you’ve got to consider that they’re in comparison with numbers that were coming out at the height of the recession.
Still, they’re up and that’s good. That’s not all that’s up in China:
- The consumer price index rose 2.4% from a year ago, which is more or less stable, but may keep the government from raising interest rates for now.
- The producer price index gained 5.2%, reports The New York Times.
- Industrial production is up 18.1% in March from one year ago.
Is the China rally overdone? The trend is up. Many China ETFs are above their 200-day moving averages (at least those that have been around long enough to establish that line). You can’t fight that trend. Yes, it may end tomorrow. It may keep going. Use a trend following strategy to buy and sell, and have a stop loss. [How to Follow Trends.]
- iShares FTSE/Xinhua China (NYSEArca: FXI)
- Claymore/AlphaShares China All-Cap (NYSEArca: YAO)
- Claymore/AlphaShares China Small-Cap (NYSEArca: HAO)
- Global X China Consumer (NYSEArca: CHIQ)
- Direxion Daily China Bull 3x Shares (NYSEArca: CZM)
- ProShares Ultra FTSE/Xinhua China 25 (NYSEArca: XPP)
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Mr. Lydon serves as an independent trustee of certain mutual funds and ETFs that are managed by Guggenheim Investments; however, any opinions or forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Mr. Lydon and not those of Guggenheim Funds, Guggenheim Investments, Guggenheim Specialized Products, LLC or any of their affiliates. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.