Latin America was the star of the global investing show in 2009. Now some are raising the red flag that this region and its exchange traded funds (ETFs) could be overheated. If this is actually happening, there are ways to protect yourself and keep from getting burned.
Although you could have earned a 93% return in the MSCI Latin America index, or 106% in Brazil last year, holding onto your gains could be tough in 2010, says Gail MarksJarvis for The Chicago Tribune. Some strategists are sending out warnings to clients, such as Citigroup strategist Geoffrey Dennis, who has watched the shares dip 9%. [Other Latin American countries to watch.]
What’s the problem?
Because China is cracking down on spending and lending, the rest of the markets have responded as economic questions and uncertainties arise. [How China’s moves have affected the markets.] Right now, they are just that: uncertainties. But it raises concerns down the line, namely, if China slows a lot, that could reduce business for Latin American companies which have been providing the commodities that China has needed for its growth spurt. [Why Chile is especially at risk for a commodity slowdown.]
Also watch what’s happening in Greece, experts say. Their debt crisis could have a contagion effect, spreading to other markets in the region.
What can you do? Have a strategy. We’re beginning to see many areas approaching their long-term trend lines or nearing that all-important 8% off the high, so it’s important to be alert and ready to hit the escape button when necessary. [The importance of a stop loss.]
For more stories about Latin America, visit our Latin America category.
- iShares MSCI Brazil (NYSEArca: EWZ)
- iShares MSCI Chile (NYSEArca: ECH)
- Global X/InterBolsa FTSE Colombia 20 (NYSEArca: GXG)
- iShares Latin America 40 Index (NYSEArca: ILF)
- Claymore BNY/Mellon BRIC ETF (NYSEArca: EEB)
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Mr. Lydon serves as an independent trustee of certain mutual funds and ETFs that are managed by Guggenheim Investments; however, any opinions or forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Mr. Lydon and not those of Guggenheim Funds, Guggenheim Investments, Guggenheim Specialized Products, LLC or any of their affiliates. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.