Eddy Elfenbein for Crossing Wall Street reports that stock returns do poorly when deflation runs above 5.6%, with stocks doing well when inflation runs at a rate of 3.1%. Anywhere above 5%, and stocks will flat line up to an inflation rate of 12%, when considering inflation-adjusted returns. After 12%, things can get ugly.
The rate of inflation in January, according to Inflation Data, was 4.3%.
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.