Emerging Market ETFs Ready for a Turnaround?
April 10th 2013 at 12:00pm by Tom Lydon
Emerging markets are expected to post growth around 5.9% in 2013, compared to 2% for developed markets such as the U.S. Several exchange traded funds are available to tap into emerging market stocks which are showing cheap valuations.
In fact, emerging market ETFs have been badly lagging the S&P 500 and other developed market benchmarks so far in 2013. [Emerging Market ETFs: What Rally?]
“Many investors are attracted to emerging-markets equities, as they expect these countries’ higher GDP growth rates to drive strong equity returns. It appears this has been the case, with the MSCI Emerging Markets Index returning an annualized 16% over the past 10 years to Nov. 30, 2012, far outpacing the S&P 500′s 6%. In hindsight, emerging-markets equities’ higher-than-expected growth rates, followed by significant (price/earnings and price/book) valuation multiple expansion, were the main drivers of this performance,” Patricia Oey wrote for Morningstar.
According to Zacks, emerging market ETFs have underperformed broad market ETFs such as the SPDR S&P 500 (NYSEArca: SPY) and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (NYSEArca: DIA). This is the first time in 10 years emerging market ETFs have underperformed during a global rally. [Breaking Down First Quarter ETF Flows]
The iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEArca: EEM) is one of the largest emerging market funds with 837 stocks. Assets are at $45.5 billion, suggesting good liquidity, with an average daily trading volume of 50 million shares. The 0.66% expense ratio is on the more expensive side compared to other emerging market ETFs. BlackRock also launched the cheaper iShares Core MSCI Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEArca: IEMG) last year. It has an expense ratio of 0.18% and nearly $1 billion in assets. [ETF Focus: Emerging Markets]
The Vanguard FTSE Emerging Markets ETF (NYSEArca: VWO) is another more affordable alternative at 0.18%. There are 1,060 stocks within the index, with a tilt toward the financial sector. The top 10 holdings are heavily concentrated, making up almost 20% of the portfolio.
WisdomTree Emerging Markets Equity Income (NYSEArca:DEM) is a fundamentally weighted ETF that selects the highest dividend yielding stocks. There are 237 stocks in the ETF, and the financial sector carries the most weighting. DEM costs 0.63%. [Dividend ETF Targets Emerging Markets]
All three ETFs have posted losses after the first quarter of 2013.
Investors should bear in mind that most emerging economies rely heavily on the commodity sector and this makes them sensitive to economic cycles. Also, currency movements with the U.S. dollar have an impact upon both equity and debt markets in emerging markets.
iShares MSCI Emerging Markets ETF
Tisha Guerrero contributed to this article.
Full disclosure: Tom Lydon’s clients own EEM.
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.