Throw fundamentals out the window. In this volatile market, ETFs seem to be moving only on European headlines, fear and hope.
There are three primary global concerns investors can’t shake. Europe’s debt crisis is on the precipice again, China’s economy appears to be slowing, and in the U.S. investors are worried about weak employment data and the debt ceiling.
In the bond market, these worries are evident in record low yields in U.S. and German government bonds.
“Is it any wonder that the marginal investor or business would prefer to hold Treasury bonds or sit on cash? And that sort of disengagement can make economic pessimism self-fulfilling,” The Economist muses.
Friday’s dismal U.S. jobs report “helped create a degree of panic for some investors prior to the weekend, and downward revisions for previous months certainly cast a pall upon those who felt the economic engine – long in idle – was ready to roar ahead,” Emerald Asset Management said in a note Monday. [ETFs Breach 200-Day Average on Europe, Jobs]
“Additionally, rumors are beginning to swirl that the Fed will – once again – take measures to bolster the U.S. economy,” Emerald said. “Not because it wants to, but because it needs to.”
In Europe, investors continue to hope that leaders will come up with a plan to cool the debt crisis.