Weak USD, Rising Inflation Could Support Commodity ETF Outlook

“This has pushed investors towards assets that have historically provided a hedge against rising inflation, particularly commodities – which fared well in USD bear markets,” Gold said.

Consequently, investors interested in diversifying their portfolios with commodities exposure have a number of ETF options available to them, such as the actively managed ETFS Bloomberg All Commodity Strategy K-1 Free ETF (NYSEArca: BCI) and ETFS Bloomberg All Commodity Longer Dated Strategy K-1 Free ETF (NYSEArca: BCD).

BCI tries to provide long-term capital appreciation that exceeds the performance of the Bloomberg Commodities Index. It may not invest in all the components of the benchmark but will hold similar interests to those included in the index, along with short-term investment-grade fixed-income securities, money market instruments, certain bank instruments and cash or other cash alternatives. The underlying Bloomberg Commodities Index tracks the price of rolling positions in a basket of commodity futures with a maturity between 1 and 3 months.

BCD tries to provide long-term capital appreciation that exceeds the performance of the Bloomberg All Commodity Index 3 Month Forward Index, which tracks movements in the price of rolling position in a basket of commodity futures with a longer maturity between 4 and 6 months.

Furthermore, Gold argued that the commodities’ historically negative USD correlation may benefit the energy sector in particular, which has led the inverse commodity/USD correlation deeper after a brief positive relationship to the dollar in 2017.

Investors interested in energy-specific exposure can look to something like the ETFS Bloomberg Energy Commodity Longer Dated Strategy K-1 Free ETF (NYSEArca: BEF). BEF tries to provide long-term capital appreciation designed to exceed the performance of the Bloomberg Energy Index 3 Month Forward Index, which tracks movements in the prices of rolling positions in a basket of energy commodity futures with a maturity between 4 and 6 months.

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