Despite strong third quarter results that revealed improved consumer spending, retail and consumer discretionary sector-related exchange traded funds weakened Thursday.
On Thursday, the SPDR S&P Retail ETF (NYSEArca: XRT) fell 0.9% and the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (NYSEArca: XLY) slipped 0.5%.
The Commerce Department revealed purchases of motor vehicles and building materials jumped on recovery efforts in the wake of Hurricane Florence, along with broad gains in sales ahead of the holiday shopping season, potentially foreshadowing a good quarter ahead, Reuters reports.
Additionally, the falling oil prices, which are expected to drag down gasoline prices, could also bolster sales as consumers are left with more discretionary money to spend.
“The consumer has the wind at their backs and with gasoline prices falling at the pump, we expect even more spending in the next couple of months,” Chris Rupkey, chief economist at MUFG, told Reuters.
Retail sales increased 0.8% last month, compared to average forecasts for a 0.5% rise in October.
Strong U.S. employment, with unemployment rates at their lowest level in almost half a century, has bolstered wages. Annual wage growth recorded its biggest increase in nine-and-a-half years in October.
“Solid job growth and wage increases are the main sources of support for consumer spending and so far, so good,” Jennifer Lee, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets, told Reuters.
Nevertheless, retailers and consumer discretionary stocks are weakening in a potential sign that larger concerns over growth and volatility, notably anxiety over the trade war between the U.S. and China, are reaching other areas of the market. Some investors are hoping for updates on trade policy with China to provide more clarity over growth prospects, the Wall Street Journal reports.
“Some conviction that the 25% tariffs don’t hit in January, that’s probably the biggest news that’s going to move the market in the next few weeks,” Jim Tierney, chief investment officer of concentrated U.S. growth at AllianceBernstein, told the WSJ.
For more information on the consumer sector, visit our consumer discretionary category.