As widely expected by the capital markets, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates by 25 basis points on Wednesday to make it a fourth and final rate hike for 2018.
Ahead of the rate decision, the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool was calculating a 73.2 percent probably of an interest rate hike of 25 basis points to a range of 2.25 to 2.50. The central bank didn’t throw the markets any curveballs after dovish tones ahead of the decision may have sent a message that a rate pause was also likely.
However, the Fed proceeded with their rate-hiking policy despite the latest rumblings in the stock markets. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has lost over 3 percent year-to-date, while the S&P 500 has lost 3.79 percent.
Meanwhile, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite has lost close to 14 percent within the last three months of what’s been a volatile market. The Dow and S&P were not immune to the market fluctuations with 9.37 percent and 11.57 percent lost, respectively, in the last three months.
Analysts have been citing rising interest rates as one of the causes for the latest declines in U.S. equities. Of course, the rate hike comes much to U.S. President Donald Trump’s chagrin.
Trump’s Scolding Didn’t Influence Fed
Just two days before Wednesday’s announcement, President Trump was already lambasting the Federal Reserve. As has been the norm whenever denigrating the central bank, President Trump took to Twitter to sound off on the economy.
This time, the president cited a strong dollar and inflation as reasons to curb further rate hikes.
It is incredible that with a very strong dollar and virtually no inflation, the outside world blowing up around us, Paris is burning and China way down, the Fed is even considering yet another interest rate hike. Take the Victory!
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) December 17, 2018
Rate hikes have been anathema to President Trump, and with the stock markets in the red as of late even after a historic bull run that saw companies like Apple and Amazon cross $1 trillion in market capitalization, the president has been quick to deride the Fed whenever the markets react negatively.
Since taking office, President Trump has been flicking jabs at Fed Chair Jerome Powell for raising interest rates–the same man he nominated for the position. Since January 2017 when President Trump took office, the Federal Reserve has now hiked interest rates seven times versus just once during former president Barack Obama’s tenure.
Following the hike announcement in September, Trump took the opportunity at a New York press conference to express his discontent.
“Unfortunately, they just raised interest rates,” said Trump. “I am not happy about that.”
The president did, however, say the Fed’s move was justified as a result of the strength seen in the economy, but also said, “but basically I am a low-interest-rate person.”
In an interview with CNBC earlier this year, Trump already took a shot at the Fed, saying he’s “not happy” about the Federal Reserve’s latest monetary policy moves to raise interest rates. In typical Trump fashion, the president took to social media to say that the U.S. “should not be penalized because we are doing so well.”
….The United States should not be penalized because we are doing so well. Tightening now hurts all that we have done. The U.S. should be allowed to recapture what was lost due to illegal currency manipulation and BAD Trade Deals. Debt coming due & we are raising rates – Really?
— Donald J. Trump (@realDonaldTrump) July 20, 2018
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