“We’ll be likely raising interest rates somewhat but it’s really in the context of a very strong economy,” Williams said at a community event in New York on Monday. “We’re not on a preset course. We’ll adjust how we do monetary policy to do our best to keep this economy going strong with low inflation.”
In an interview with the Wall Street Journal this month, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker was outright convinced that a December rate hike is not the most optimal move given the latest rumblings in the markets.
“At this point, I’m not convinced a December rate move is the right move, but I need to watch the data over the next few weeks before determining whether it is prudent to boost the cost of borrowing again.”
Despite the latest comments from his colleagues and recent volatility roiling the capital markets, Clarida maintains that the economy is still robust.
“U.S. economic fundamentals are robust, as indicated by strong growth in gross domestic product and a job market that has been surprising on the upside for nearly two years,” Clarida said.
Short-Term Bond ETF Exposure
As institutional investors pare their bearish bets on bonds, retail investors are still focusing on short-term debt through investment vehicles like fixed-income exchange-traded funds (ETFs). An example would be the SPDR Portfolio Short Term Corp Bd ETF (NYSEArca: SPSB), which seeks to provide investment results that correspond to the performance of the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. 1-3 Year Corporate Bond Index.
Another short-term bond ETF option is the iShares 1-3 Year Credit Bond ETF (NASDAQ: CSJ), which tracks the investment results of the Bloomberg Barclays U.S. 1-3 Year Credit Bond Index where 90 percent of its assets will be allocated towards a mix of investment-grade corporate debt and sovereign, supranational, local authority, and non-U.S. agency bonds that are U.S. dollar-denominated and have a remaining maturity of greater than one year and less than or equal to three years–this shorter duration is beneficial during recessionary environments.
For more trends in fixed income, visit the Fixed Income Channel.