Muted 2018 Expectations for Semiconductor ETFs

“Acquisitions and potential for earnings growth remain, but multi-year-high multiples may have less room to expand,” according to Bloomberg. “Auto and industrial chip content growth remains a secular story, and 2018’s memory pricing may remain strong, contingent on phone demand.”

There are some risks to consider with semiconductor stocks and ETFs. For example, President Donald Trump has pushed for restrictions on trade barriers with China, which might pose a threat to the sector. China is a key market for the global semiconductor industry, consuming more than $100 billion worth of semiconductors or roughly one-third of the world population.

“Worldwide semiconductor revenue is forecast to total $401.4 billion in 2017, an increase of 16.8 percent from 2016,” according to Gartner, Inc. “This will be the first time semiconductor revenue has surpassed $400 billion. The market reached the $300 billion milestone seven years ago, in 2010, and surpassed $200 billion in 2000.”

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