Based on price action prior to the June FOMC meeting, the U.S. Treasury (UST) market did not seem to discount the potential policy actions that could be forthcoming later this year. Following the May jobs report, the UST 10-Year yield fell to 2.15%, the lowest reading since right after Election Day. In our opinion, if the Fed does ultimately tighten monetary policy by implementing both rate hikes and balance sheet normalization, UST yields may be susceptible to some upside pressure.
This article was contributed courtesy of WisdomTree Senior Fixed Income Strategist Kevin Flanagan.
Unless otherwise noted, data source is Bloomberg as of 6/9/2017.
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