Insurance ETFs experienced outflows during the first quarter. However, S&P Global Market Intelligence thinks investors should look more closely at these ETFs, with full awareness of the differences as the important life and health insurance industry is experiencing strong fundamental improvements.
Last week MetLife (MET) learned it would not be considered a nonbank systemically important financial institution, after a court sided with the insurer in its case against the Financial Stability Oversight Council. The news drove the stock higher, which combined with premium growth provides a catalyst for insurance ETFs such as SPDR S&P Insurance (KIE) and iShares US Insurance (IAK).
U.S. life insurance premiums in 2015 grew at their fastest pace in four years as several large life insurers reversed the flat or negative growth rates they experienced in recent years. Life insurers in the U.S. combined to post 4.5% growth in direct written premiums in 2015, compared to 2.4% in 2014. The industry had a compound annual growth rate of 2.7% from 2011 to 2015. The figures are based on an analysis by S&P Global Market Intelligence of total direct premiums written data, which includes first year, single and renewal premiums of U.S. life insurers for the year ended Dec. 31, 2015.
Prudential Financial (PRU) grew life insurance premiums approximately 10% in 2015, compared to negative growth rates of 12% in 2013 and 5.8% in 2014. S&P Global Market Intelligence insurance equity analyst Cathy Seifert thinks PRU’s earnings growth in 2016 will likely be helped by price hikes, product revamps, more expense and risk discipline, as well as contributions from the acquisition of Hartford’s individual life insurance business.
[related_stories]Meanwhile, MetLife (MET), which has the top U.S. life insurance market share spot in 2015, had an acceleration of growth in 2015, growing 7.8% in 2015, up from 0.5% in 2014. Direct premiums written with its U.S. businesses exceeded premium levels of 2011 for the first time in four years and 57% of total policies written by the insurer in 2015 were in group life insurance.
Despite these developments, KIE, a $465 million ETF, has $39 million in outflows during the first quarter. Similar to other SPDR industry focused ETFs, KIE is equally weighted across 49 holdings, regardless of company size. As such mid-cap life and health insurers such as Torchmark (TMK) contribute to performance in a similar manner as large-caps MET and PRU; the life and health insurers are 23% of assets, while property & casualty insurers are 41%.
KIE’s ranking is aided by the S&P Capital IQ Fair Value of its holdings, bullish technical trends and a modest 0.35% expense ratio.
In contrast, iShares US Insurance (IAK) is a market-cap weighted ETF and as such the larger insurance companies are more heavily weighted. For example, MET and PRU were 8.6% and 6.0%, respectively as of late March, while TMK was 1.3%.
From an industry perspective, both life and health insurance companies (28% of assets) and property & casualty insurers (46%) were relatively high compared to KIE. Meanwhile, IAK’s reinsurance exposure (1.5% vs 13%) was significantly lower.
Overall, insurance companies were 17% of assets in the more popular Financial Services Select Sector SPDR (XLF Overweight), making it the third largest industry, behind banks and REITs. As such investors in this more broadly diversified sector ETF, should be encouraged by the above developments.
Todd Rosenbluth is Director of ETF Research for S&P Global Market Intelligence. Follow him on Twitter: @ToddSPGlobal.