Brazil ETF Bumbles Away Most Post-Election Gains

Shares of the iShares MSCI Brazil Capped ETF (NYSEArca: EWZ) are off nearly 3% Thursday, meaning that as of this writing, only five non-leveraged exchange traded funds are putting in worse intraday performances.

Unfortunately for Brazil bulls, one of the five that is behaving worse than EWZ is the Market Vectors Brazil Small-Cap ETF (NYSEArca: BRF). Focusing on EWZ, the largest ETF tracking Latin America’s largest economy, Thursday’s slide for the volatile ETF means nearly all of the fund’s post-election gains have evaporated. {Investors Skirt Leveraged Brazil ETFs]

On Oct. 26 in the closest Brazilian election in nearly 30 years, President Dilma Rousseff narrowly defeated challenger Senator Aecio Neves in a runoff election. Not surprisingly, EWZ and other Brazil ETFs sank on Monday Oct. 27, but investors seemingly came to grips with the fact that if they wanted to be long Brazilian equities, that commitment would require enduring another term for Rousseff.

Even with the Oct. 27, EWZ would finish that week higher by nearly 10% while BRF tacked on 8.4%. However, momentum has waned for Brazilian stocks since the end of last month, indicating that the thesis that sellers of Brazilian stocks and ETFs were exhausted was flawed.

Last week, investors cheered another rate hike from Brazil’s central bank, which took the country’s benchmark interest rate to 11.25%, one of the highest in the developing world. Today, EWZ and BRF are faltering on reports another rate hike is all but a foregone conclusion.