Of Barbells and Bond ETFs

For example, a number of my clients have 60% in lower beta risk stock assets such as Vanguard High Dividend Yield (VYM), iShares USA Minimum Volatility (USMV), iShares S&P 100 (OEF), First Trust Technology Dividend (TDIV) and/or SPDR Select Sector Health Care (XLV). I even incorporated emerging market Asia via iShares MSCI All Country Asia Ex Japan (AAXJ) into many portfolios. The 40% allocated to intermediate- and longer-term bond funds include those ETFs mentioned in the above-mentioned paragraph, as well as funds like SPDR Nuveen Muni (TFI), iShares Intermediate Term Credit (CIU) and Market Vectors Long Muni (MLN).

What’s noticeably missing from the barbell is a significant allocation to the “middle-of-the-risk-spectrum” assets along the handle. This includes assets like higher yielding bonds, preferreds and REITs. (Note: Another antagonistic commenter who hides under the cloak of his anonymity believes that I missed the REIT boat, failing to understand the risk-reducing goals for a barbell-oriented portfolio.)

My clients have a variety of different risk profiles – income, conservative growth and income, moderate growth, moderately aggressive growth, etc. It follows that not every family has the same assets, let alone a mix of 60/40 growth-to-income. Nevertheless, it is instructive to view how the assets that I have been using throughout 2014 have performed year-to-date:

Year-To-Date Results For Barbell Assets
YTD %
SPDR Select Sector Health Care (XLV) 15.1%
First Trust Techology Dividend (TDIV) 9.1%
iShares USA Minimum Volatiltiy (USMV) 6.9%
Vanguard High Dividend Yield (VYM) 6.8%
iShares S&P 100 (OEF) 6.5%
iShares MSCI All Country Asia  Ex Japan (AAXJ) 1.8%
Vanguard Extended Duration (EDV) 31.7%
Vanguard Long Term Bond (BLV) 16.2%
SPDR Nuveen Muni (TFI) 8.7%
iShares Intermediate Credit Bond (CIU) 3.6%
Year-To-Date Benchmarks
Vanguard Total Bond (BND) 5.0%
SPDR S&P 500 (SPY) 6.1%
iShares Russell 2000 (IWM) -6.3%

Clearly, the S&P 500 SPDR Trust (SPY) performed remarkably well in 2014. For improved risk-adjusted rewards, it could easily have been paired with Vanguard Total Bond (BND). That said, is it advisable to eschew diversifying with small-caps, foreign stocks, high yield bonds and other asset classes? Year-to-date, yes… avoiding small-cap U.S. stocks and foreign developed stocks has been sensible. Yet the best combination of assets at this moment continues to be barbell assets – longer-term bond ETFs, large-cap stock ETFs and low beta stock ETFs.

The barbell approach is not perfect nor is it intended for everyone. It is not a buy-n-hold recipe for success either. Instead, as bull markets mature, I tend to sell small-caps, riskier stock sectors and a variety of struggling assets in the middle of the risk spectrum. This is not to suggest that they cannot perform. I am suggesting that they are less worthy of the risk. It follows that my stock allocation shifts primarily to the largest-cap corporations, while my bond allocation shifts toward safety over income potential.