Are There Valuation Improvements in Russia?

Other Sectors Displayed Growth – Although not all sectors are represented in the Index, it is quite impressive that we saw growth among the majority of sectors represented. One of the largest growers within the other category is from Consumer Staples firm Magnit OJSC, Russia’s largest retailer by number of stores and revenue. It recently reported sales growth of 30%, which possibly signals strong underlying consumption trend growth.8 Given its broad exposure and penetration across Russia, I think this company is well-positioned to benefit from a growing emerging market consumer. Other large growers within the other category were Telecommunication Services firms Mobile TeleSystems and Sistema, with growth rates of 63% and 115%, respectively. Utilities were the only sector that didn’t see growth, and this is because there is only one Utility firm in the Index and it hasn’t announced its yearly dividend yet.

Outlook

There remains a lively debate about the ongoing risks from investing in Russia during this time of conflict, but how much of the risks are already priced into these securities? These concerns have caused major Russian companies to trade at depressed valuations, whether looking at price-to-earnings ratios or dividend yields compared to their historical medians. Famed investment writer James Grant recently referred to Gazprom as being the opposite of Tesla Motors, pointing to the former’s discounted valuations and high dividend yield as reasons to own the stock.

During times of volatility, the focus tends to be less on individual companies and their fundamentals and more on fears of a worsening situation. Recent dividend announcements from some of the largest companies in Russia are fundamentally positive, and if the situation improves in the region, these stocks may indeed represent significant investment opportunities.

For current holdings of the WisdomTree Emerging Markets Dividend Index, click here.

1Sources: WisdomTree, Bloomberg, historical median calculated from 4/30/04–4/30/14
2Source: Bloomberg, 4/30/14
3Sources: WisdomTree, Bloomberg, historical median calculated from 4/30/04–4/30/14
4Source: WisdomTree, Bloomberg, 4/30/14
5Source: Bloomberg, 4/30/13–4/30/14
6Source: Bloomberg, 4/30/14
7Source: Bloomberg, 4/30/14
8Source: Magnit Q1 2014 Investor Presentation, 4/30/14

Important Risks Related to this Article

Dividends are not guaranteed, and a company’s future ability to pay dividends may be limited. A company currently paying dividends may cease paying dividends at any time.
Foreign investing involves special risks, such as risk of loss from currency fluctuation or political or economic uncertainty.

Investments in emerging, offshore or frontier markets are generally less liquid and less efficient than investments in developed markets and are subject to additional risks, such as risks of adverse governmental regulation and intervention or political developments. Investments focused in Russia are increasing the impact of events and developments associated with the region, which can adversely affect performance.