Small-Cap ETF Rally Could Lead Equities Higher
July 11th at 12:04pm by Tom Lydon
Smaller companies have typically led the charge at the beginning of any recovery, and with small-capitalization stocks and exchange traded funds hitting new highs, market observers are anticipating bullish, broad market moves.
The iShares Russell 2000 (NYSEArca: IWM) has gained 10.0% over the past three months and is up 20.7% year-to-date.
“It’s bullish that the Russell 2000 has reversed its downtrend off the May 22 highs and breaking out to new highs,” Craig Johnson, technical market strategist and managing director at Piper Jaffray, said in a CNBC article. “And when we get an index as broad as the Russell 2000 breaking out to new highs, that suggests that the internals of the market is very strong and we have a lot of stocks that are participating in this move.” [Small-Cap ETFs in the Driver’s Seat]
The Russell 2000 finished above 1,000 for the first time last Friday and is now trading around 1,017. So far this year, the Russell 2000 has outperformed the S&P 500, gaining 20% compared to the S&P 500′s 16%. [ETF Chart of the Day: Small-Caps Hit Fresh All-Time High]
Market experts consider the outperformance a bullish indicator for the overall market since small-caps are believed to be a good gauge for the domestic economy.
Moreover, the rising interest rate has not made been holding back the equities rally – the Russell 2000 has gained 8.3% as the benchmark 10-year Treasury yield rose a full 1% since early May. The benchmark yield currently hovers around 2.65%.
With rising interest rates, investors are shifting away from dividend paying stocks toward riskier equities that could generate better capital gains.
“And right now, another reason you’re seeing this massive small-cap outperformance is because with bond yields moving higher, [small caps] have become more competitive versus stocks that pay dividends,” Salamone added. “So you’re seeing a rotation out of high-dividend stocks as investors seek higher returns via capital gains and higher beta type names such as the small cap.”
iShares Russell 2000
For more information on small-capitalization funds, visit our small-cap category.
Max Chen contributed to this article.
Full disclosure: Tom Lydon’s clients own IWM.
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.