Weaker Yen Gives Japanese Equity ETFs a Chance in 2013
December 31st, 2012 at 8:52am by Tom Lydon
A slide in the value of the yen gives Japanese equity-focused exchange traded funds a chance to rally in the new year, especially those that hedge their exposure to the weakening currency. The prominent investment bank Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) is currently loading up on these shares, verifying the trend.
“The investment bank’s asset management unit in Japan is buying shares of the nation’s machinery and electronics exporters, financial firms and electricity producers,” Hiroyuki Ito, Tokyo-based head of equity investment at Goldman Sachs Asset Management Co., said in a recent report. [Japan ETF Benefits from Focus on Exporters, Plunging Yen]
Prime Minister Shinzo Abe’s new government promises to do more to end deflation and weaken the yen, reports Anna Kitanaka for Bloomberg. The Guggenheim CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (NYSEArca: FXY) has lost about 10% year-to-date, as the Japanese yen is the worst-performing currency in 2012. [International ETFs Minus Currency Risk]
The yen’s weakness is here to stay for some time with the new political leadership dedicated to keeping the currency value low, which can give the equity market back some value. [Japanese Yen ETF Falls to Two Year Low]
“We’re bullish on Japanese stocks next year and the basis for that is the currency,” said Ito. “The yen’s strength has really hurt Japanese industry, but that trend has ended. The government has made its message very clear: they will be rigorous in boosting the economy.”
The WisdomTree Japan Hedged Equity ETF (NYSEArca: DXJ) captures the Japanese equity market while avoiding exposure to yen movements against the U.S. dollar. Another pure-equity play is the db-X MSCI Japan Currency Hedged Equity Fund (NYSEArca: DBJP) however, the fund is not as liquid as DXJ. The iShares MSCI Japan Index Fund (NYSEArca: EWJ) is the largest fund in this category and has $4.9 billion in assets under management. EWJ does not hedge its currency exposure to the Japanese yen.
Tisha Guerrero contributed to this article.
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Mr. Lydon serves as an independent trustee of certain mutual funds and ETFs that are managed by Guggenheim Investments; however, any opinions or forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Mr. Lydon and not those of Guggenheim Funds, Guggenheim Investments, Guggenheim Specialized Products, LLC or any of their affiliates. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.