The largest exchange traded product following copper futures is down 14% the past month in yet another sign of slowdown and deflation worries in the global economy.
The industrial metal has “a decent track record when it comes to reflecting global strength or weakness,” says Chris Kimble at Kimble Charting Solutions. “Once copper broke a multi-year support line back in 2008, copper fell hard and the global economy became very soft.”
Copper is often seen as a leading indicator for the global economy because of its wide use in industry and manufacturing.
The recent pullback in copper prices has resulted in prices again breaking a three-year support line, the technical analyst noted.
However, the steep sell-off in commodities and stocks recently “has been sizable and in the short-term might be a bit oversold.”
The $116 million iPath DJ-UBS Copper ETN (NYSEArca: JJC) is down 4% year to date, according to Morningstar.
JJC is an exchange traded note, which have different credit risks than ETFs. [ETNs are Not ETFs]
Also, since the ETN is designed to track copper futures rather than the spot price, it can be hurt by “contango.” [Five Things to Know About Commodity ETFs]
Aside from Europe’s debt crisis, copper ETFs are feeling the weight of fears China’s economy is slowing. [China Slowdown Hurts Base Metals ETFs]
iPath DJ-UBS Copper ETN
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of John Spence, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.