Junior Gold Miners ETF Breaking Resistance, Beating Large-Caps

May 1st, 2012 at 10:29am by John Spence

A long-suffering ETF following junior gold miner stocks is outperforming its large-cap peers after breaking above a resistance trend line.

Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners (NYSEArca: GDXJ) is down more than 20% the past three months to trade near its lowest levels since early 2010.

However, it has a smaller year-to-date loss than Market Vectors Gold Miners (NYSEArca: GDX), which invests in large-cap stocks in the sector. GDXJ was in positive territory Tuesday while GDX was in the red.

Gold miners have been in steady decline since the beginning of 2011, with some claiming the rise of bullion-backed ETFs has curbed investor demand for the sector.

For example, Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners was down 40.5% for the year ended April 30, according to Morningstar.

The ETF breaking resistance and outperforming its large-cap mate could mean bottom-fishing investors are taking on more risk in the gold miner sector. It may also be a sign that some investors are positioning for takeovers by targeting small-caps after the sector’s prolonged slump.

On Monday, ETF Channel pointed out a roughly $50 million inflow to Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners week over week, or a 2.4% increase in outstanding shares.

Market Vectors Junior Gold Miners


The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of John Spence, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.

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