Are Gold ETFs a Safe Haven Again?
May 17th 2012 at 2:09pm by John Spence
Many market observers have been puzzled by the recent weakness in gold ETFs despite the latest outbreak in Europe’s debt crisis.
Gold has been moving lower with stocks in May while the U.S. dollar and Treasury bonds have strengthened amid speculation Greece will leave the euro.
However, Thursday’s action was notable because gold rallied with Treasuries, while U.S. stocks sold off.
The negative correlation between SPDR Gold Shares (NYSEArca: GLD) and iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury (NYSEArca: TLT) changed Thursday as both ETFs surged, according to StockCharts. [Gold ETFs Testing December Low]
“Gold may regaining its safe haven status,” it said.
Investors are cutting back gold holdings for the third month, the longest streak since 2004, as they favor the U.S. dollar as a safe haven, Bloomberg News reported Thursday.
However, Goldman Sachs sees record prices for the precious metal. Goldman expects prices to rise 26% to $1,940 an ounce in 12 months, according to the Bloomberg report.
GLD was up 2.2% in afternoon trading Thursday.
SPDR Gold Shares
Full disclosure: Tom Lydon’s clients own GLD.
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of John Spence, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.