Weaker GDP Numbers Sink ETFs
June 25th, 2010 at 8:30am by Tom Lydon
The U.S. economy grew in the first quarter, but the growth has been revised slightly downward. Exchange traded funds (ETFs) and the markets are tumbling early on the news.
U.S. GDP grew 2.7% in the first quarter, revised downward from the previous estimate of 3% growth and far slower than the fourth quarter’s pace of 5.6% growth. In any other situation, 2.7% growth would be something to celebrate. Now, though, it underscores the weakness of the recovery so far. For comparison’s sake, after the recession in the early ’80s, GDP grew between 7% and 9% for five consecutive quarters. Much of the weakness is blamed on consumer spending, which accounts for two-thirds of the numbers. [Consumer Discretionary ETFs: Outperformance in 2010?]
- Vanguard Consumer Discretionary (NYSEArca: VCR)
BP’s (NYSE: BP) continues to sink, now sitting at 14-year lows. Total share losses are now $100 billion – more than half its market value before the spill. Analysts are now saying that BP needs to assure the market of its liquidity. CEO Tony Hayward denied the company was seeking bankruptcy protect. [What the BP Oil Spill Means for ETF Investors.]
- SPDR S&P International Energy (NYSEArca: IPW): BP is 8.3%; the fund is down 18.3% in the last three months
Various and sundry market concerns sent risk-averse investors to the relative safety of the U.S. dollar, pushing it higher against the euro. The G20 is gathering today to discuss the world’s economic concerns, so analysts will be watching closely for reports of regulatory reforms, global bank taxes and monetary tightening. [Currency ETFs: A Simpler Option.]
- PowerShares DB U.S. Dollar Bullish (NYSEArca: UUP)
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.