Where You Can Go If Treasury Bond ETFs Peter Out
August 6th 2009 at 12:00pm by Tom Lydon
As more and more economic reports signal a recovery process, however tentative, investors are gradually regaining their risk appetites. If the trend continues, it could put treasury bond exchange traded funds (ETFs) on the losing end of things.
Last year, investors turned to Treasuries as a last ditch wealth-preservation effort. Today, Treasuries have been made less appealing as prices fall and the government runs up a deficit, according to Financial Planning. Tax rolls are also down at the state and city level, which doesn’t make the outlook for municipal bonds that much better.
But investors have alternatives that can give diversification and varying yields:
- Intermediate bond funds that include a mix of government, mortgage and investment-grade corporate bonds
- Treasury inflation-protected securities (TIPs)
- Non-government investments, such as corporate bonds
Treasury bond prices may continue to fall for the time being. The government is issuing more debt, the economy is stabilizing and the Federal Research is purchasing more Treasuries, a recipe for declining bond prices, says John Parry for Reuters. This has put the central bank in a quandary: lower demand for safe havens means higher yields, which threatens to keep a lid on consumer borrowing, further hampering economic growth.
- PowerShares Insured National Muni Bond (PZA): up 9.3% year-to-date; yields of 4.9%
- iShares Lehman 7-10 Yr Treasury Bond Fund (IEF): down 7.7% year-to-date; yields 3.9%
- iShares Lehman TIPS Bond Fund (TIP): up 3.2% year-to-date; yields 4.4%
- iShares iBoxx $ Invest Grade Corp Bond (LQD): up 4.5% year-to-date; yields 5.6%
For more information on bonds, visit our bonds category.
For full disclosure, Tom Lydon’s clients own shares of LQD and TIP.
Max Chen contributed to this article.
The opinions and forecasts expressed herein are solely those of Tom Lydon, and may not actually come to pass. Information on this site should not be used or construed as an offer to sell, a solicitation of an offer to buy, or a recommendation for any product.