How to Play the VIX with ETNs As Volatility Wanes

May 21, 2009 at 2:00 pm by Tom Lydon      Bookmark and Share

One of the most popular tools used to measure the market volatility of stocks and exchange traded funds (ETFs) is the VIX.  Over the past few weeks, the VIX has been declining indicating that volatility in the markets is starting to calm down, so what does this mean for investors? Historically speaking, the VIX has been a measure of uncertainty or investor anxiety.  High levels of fear in investors can be reflected by high VIX levels and low levels indicate widespread complacency.  To see the effect the VIX has on returns,  CNBC gives the following statistics:

  • When the VIX is below 15, the S&P’s annualized return is 7.8%
  • When the VIX is between 15 and 20, the S&P’s annualized return is 2.8%
  • When the VIX is between 20 and and 25, the S&P’s annualized return is -1.5%
  • When the VIX is over 25, the S&P’s annualized return is 11.1%.

As for what the future lies for investors, your guess is as good as ours.  Reasons that volatility has softened include bank stress test results have already been disclosed, unemployment numbers have already skyrocketed and are unlikely to jump in huge increments anytime soon and corporate valuations have already been demolished, so there isn’t much more room to drop, states Bill Luby at Vix and More.

However, no one really expected the current global financial meltdown to be as severe as it is, and no one can be sure that it is completely over.  Predicting what lies ahead is kind of playing Russian Roulette, you really don’t know what is going to happen.

If interested in being volatile, there are definitely ways to cure your fix.  One can take a look at the following ETNs:

  • iPath S&P 500 VIX Short-Term Futures (VXX)

  • iPath S&P 500 VIX Mid-Term Futures (VXZ)

When considering the aforementioned ETNs, it is imperative to know exactly how they work.  They don’t track the VIX, what they do is track a basket of volatility futures and produce a negative return where the yield on the cash that serves as collateral for the futures softens the blow.

Remember to always have a strategy, know what your portfolio consist of and know exactly how your holdings work. ETNs and ETFs differ in their construction, as well.

Kevin Grewal contributed to this article.

Share this post:
  • email
  • Yahoo! Buzz
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Tipd
  • Reddit
  • StumbleUpon
  • Facebook
  • Technorati
  • Google Bookmarks
  • TwitThis

Tags: , , , , , ,

Subscribe to Our Daily E-mail Newsletter

Enter your e-mail address below to sign up for our daily e-mail newsletter, the Daily Market Update. We will never share your e-mail address with third parties.

Subscribe to Our RSS Feed

Click here to subscribe to our RSS feed

blog comments powered by Disqus
Special Report

Recent TV Appearances

Now Available:

The ETF Trend
Following Playbook

ETF Trends' new book is now available. Click here for details. Or order online from one of these bookstores:
Amazon        Barnes and Noble


iMoney

ETF Trends' book iMoney is available. Click here for details. Or order online from one of these bookstores:
Amazon        Amazon