4 Reasons Why Copper ETFs and ETNs Are Jumping

April 13, 2009 at 11:00 am by Tom Lydon      Bookmark and Share

Copper ETFsCopper prices have hit their highest prices in six months, giving related exchange traded notes (ETNs) and exchange traded funds (ETFs) some steam. Why is copper the metal of the moment?

  • Falling supplies. Inventories in warehouses monitored by the Shanghai Futures Exchange dropped 18% to their lowest point since early February, reports Reuters.
  • China. They’re the world’s largest copper consumer. Excitement over the country’s $585 billion stimulus plan and its potential to spur industrial production has many optimistic about the future outlook for the metal, which is a major component in industrial production.
  • Increased lending. New loans in China increased more than sixfold in March from a year ago. There’s speculation that increased lending will spur inflation, making copper more attractive as a hedge.
  • More shipments. Inbound shipments of the metal to China jumped 14% in March from February as buyers take advantage of low prices.
  • iPath DJ AIG Copper TR Sub-Index ETN (JJC): up 49% year-to-date

  • iShares MSCI Chile (ECH): up 21.2% year-to-date; copper makes up 50% of Chile’s total exports

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  • Bill Fritz
    I think you'd better check your data for the 200 day moving average... Yahoo shows something different... PS the 50 day averages look to be the same...

    http://finance.yahoo.com/echarts?s=jjc#chart2:s...
  • Tom Lydon
    Hi Bill,

    Thanks for your comment. We use the 200-day EMA, which puts more emphasis on the most recent prices. This accounts for the difference in the two charts - the Yahoo chart linked is using the SMA.
  • Donato
    Tom . . .
    With all due respect, using the 200 EMA does not explain the discrepancy. Using other charting sources, neither the 200 EMA or the 200 SMA crosses the equity price in mid march for JJC. I suspect that if you pull up a one year chart using your service, the 200 day average will not cross the price line in mid march either.

    Also, if you look at a one or two year chart for JJC, there is no possible way that the price is at any 200 day MA in October 2008, as your chart indicates.

    See link below showing both 200 EMA and SMA:

    http://finance.yahoo.com/q/ta?s=JJC&t=6m&l=off&...
  • Tom Lydon
    Thanks for reaching out, Donato. We really appreciate your comments.

    There are programming differences with the charts between various providers, which can make the tech aspect frustrating sometimes. We recommend you use the analyzer itself to view the 200-day moving average.
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