What the Weaker Yen Means for Japan’s ETFs

February 26, 2009 at 1:00 pm by Tom Lydon      Bookmark and Share

In 2008’s flight-to-safety, many exchange traded fund (ETF) investors went to U.S. treasuries, the U.S. dollar and the Japanese yen.

So far in 2009, the U.S. dollar (to the surprise of many) and gold have reigned supreme, with investors flocking to them as safe havens during these tough economic times.

Gary Gordon for ETF Expert says that the Japanese yen, however, is down more than 10% since it peaked mid-December of last year; the yen has actually fallen below the levels seen at the height of credit anxiety during the October and November low points.

The Japanese yen used to be associated with risk aversion, and now it appears to be struggling. The answer for why is in the hands of the locals; The global recession and the strengthening of Japan’s currency has made it terribly difficult for its multinationals to sell products to the world. And Japan’s famous frugality is further weighing on the economy. The weaker the yen is, the better Japan’s exports do. The leaders in Japan have been purposely weakening the yen.

So far, though, the weakening yen hasn’t resulted in a boom for the iShares MSCI Japan (EWJ), which itself is down 13.5% in the last month. But this could be because investors remain spooked by the health of Japan’s largest companies and the overall economy.

Today, the yen fell to a three-month low against the dollar. The economy in Japan is reliant upon exporting goods such as cars and flat-screen panel televisions. Much of the fear is from the Japanese themselves – they’re taking their currency overseas and spending it, reports Scott Tong for Marketplace.

  • CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust (FXY): down 2.3% over three months; down 3.8% in the last week

  • iShares MSCI Japan Index (EWJ) down 13.6% over three months; down 5.5% over one week

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  • Rakesh Varasia
    Japan === GDP is depend on Export of the domestirc product in international market in Dollars, now if dollar gets strong which is good hint to japani exporters which i expect in first quarter of 2009, on the base of Product requirement in some asin countries, which dint suffer much because of recession in 2008.....

    Machines output and export in last month was a good hint that consumer demand in market and at the same time Global Economy Stabiliyt and Stimulus Packages are making good sing of recovery in US market which is Good for Japna Growth and its receovery from the falling market. Since Last Two Quarters we have found the some reduction in Interest Rate from 0.5% to 0.3%.

    Now i believe that it wont cut further because of Govt intervention to stable the Economy ... Nikkie Will be cover soon From its Current 7735 Level to 8245 and then higher and higher....
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