What Contango Means for Oil ETFs

January 29, 2009 at 1:00 pm by Tom Lydon      Bookmark and Share

Oil ETFs ContangoYesterday, we covered the issue of whether oil exchange traded fund (ETF) investors knew what they were doing when it came to these funds. (You do). But how does the issue of contago impact oil-related ETFs?

Market Folly has an explanation on Seeking Alpha that investors might find interesting.

The United States Oil Fund (USO) holds long positions on oil futures, rolling them forward each month. Three factors impact the ETF:

  1. Changes in the spot price
  2. Interest income on uninvested cash
  3. The roll yield

Right now, the price of oil in February 2009 is less than the price of oil in April 2009 – a classic case of contango. If the opposite were true, it would be backwardation. USO, and most commodity funds, buy the “near month” contract. Since they don’t want to take delivery, the current month’s contract is sold before expiration and the next month’s contract is bought – called “rolling forward.”

USO’s prospectus warns of such a situation: a negative “roll yield” could cause the net asset value of USO to deviate significantly from crude’s spot price.

This is an important reason to read the prospectus of the fund you’re eyeing, and understand how different climates will impact the fund.

United States Oil USO

Share this post:
  • email
  • Yahoo! Buzz
  • Digg
  • del.icio.us
  • Tipd
  • Reddit
  • StumbleUpon
  • Facebook
  • Technorati
  • Google Bookmarks
  • TwitThis

Tags: , , , ,

Subscribe to Our Daily E-mail Newsletter

Enter your e-mail address below to sign up for our daily e-mail newsletter, the Daily Market Update. We will never share your e-mail address with third parties.

Subscribe to Our RSS Feed

Click here to subscribe to our RSS feed

blog comments powered by Disqus
Special Report

Recent TV Appearances

Now Available:

The ETF Trend
Following Playbook

ETF Trends' new book is now available. Click here for details. Or order online from one of these bookstores:
Amazon        Barnes and Noble


iMoney

ETF Trends' book iMoney is available. Click here for details. Or order online from one of these bookstores:
Amazon        Amazon