Comments on: ETFs In ‘09: Will They Be Half Empty Or Half Full? http://www.etftrends.com/2008/11/etfs-in-09-will-they-be-half-empty-or-half-full.html Keeping a grip on exchange traded funds (ETFs) Fri, 20 Nov 2009 16:30:37 -0800 http://wordpress.org/?v=2.8.6 hourly 1 By: penny stocks http://www.etftrends.com/2008/11/etfs-in-09-will-they-be-half-empty-or-half-full.html/comment-page-1/#comment-3824 penny stocks Tue, 14 Apr 2009 03:19:48 +0000 http://www.etftrends.com/?p=6163#comment-3824 It's been couple of months since this was posted, we're till waiting for good news. I guess many of us are voting close to "1"; it's very difficult these days to say we have no worries. It's been couple of months since this was posted, we're till waiting for good news. I guess many of us are voting close to “1″; it's very difficult these days to say we have no worries.

]]> By: MRRESONSIBLE http://www.etftrends.com/2008/11/etfs-in-09-will-they-be-half-empty-or-half-full.html/comment-page-1/#comment-2528 MRRESONSIBLE Mon, 10 Nov 2008 16:31:15 +0000 http://www.etftrends.com/?p=6163#comment-2528 HISTORICALLY, THE U.S. RECESSION (MAYBE DEFINED FOR APRIL 2008) WILL LAST UNTIL APPROXIMATELY FEBRUARY 2010 (ON AVERAGE 22 MONTHS). THE STOCK MARKET REACHED ITS HIGH IN OCTOBER 2007. USUALLY, THE STOCK MARKET'S DURATION INTO THE RECESSION IS 58.4 PERCENT OF THE RECESSION. THE STOCK DECLINES ON AVERAGE 14.4 MONTHS SO THE THEORETICALLY, THE MARKET COULD BOTTOM IN JANUARY 2009. THERE ARE MANY INFLUENCING FACTORS, OF COURSE, SOME OF WHICH ARE: STIMULUS PACKAGES, %OF MARKET DECLINE OF STOCK MARKET DECLINE, INTEREST RATES, SAVINGS RATE, CURRENCY RATIOS, WEATHER, ETC. BUT THE THE LONG TERM FACTOR THAT I THINK WILL DETERMINE THE FUTURE IS U.S. DEMOGRAPHICS (IS THIS COUNTRY READY? TAKE A LOOK AT THE POPULATION SHOPPING AT WALMART, DIET & EXERCISE); HEALTH AND WELFARE OF CHILDREN, REFLECTED BY FAMILY SUPPORT. HISTORICALLY, THE U.S. RECESSION (MAYBE DEFINED FOR APRIL 2008) WILL LAST UNTIL APPROXIMATELY FEBRUARY 2010 (ON AVERAGE 22 MONTHS). THE STOCK MARKET REACHED ITS HIGH IN OCTOBER 2007. USUALLY, THE STOCK MARKET’S DURATION INTO THE RECESSION IS 58.4 PERCENT OF THE RECESSION. THE STOCK DECLINES ON AVERAGE 14.4 MONTHS SO THE THEORETICALLY, THE MARKET COULD BOTTOM IN JANUARY 2009.

THERE ARE MANY INFLUENCING FACTORS, OF COURSE, SOME OF WHICH ARE: STIMULUS PACKAGES, %OF MARKET DECLINE OF STOCK MARKET DECLINE, INTEREST RATES, SAVINGS RATE, CURRENCY RATIOS, WEATHER, ETC. BUT THE THE LONG TERM FACTOR THAT I THINK WILL DETERMINE THE FUTURE IS U.S. DEMOGRAPHICS (IS THIS COUNTRY READY? TAKE A LOOK AT THE POPULATION SHOPPING AT WALMART, DIET & EXERCISE); HEALTH AND WELFARE OF CHILDREN, REFLECTED BY FAMILY SUPPORT.

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