Big Three Await Big Help As ETFs Hold Breath

November 18, 2008 at 10:00 am by Tom Lydon

Automobile ETFWhile there’s no automobile exchange traded fund (ETF), the implications for the economy and other ETFs are large if the Big Three fail are wide-reaching.

Congress will begin their debate over how to help General Motors (GM), Ford (F) and Chrysler LLC before the economy takes another hit.

Chris Isodore for CNN Money explains that the Big Three of Detroit are next in line for federal aid in the form of $25 billion in loans until 2010. Around 1.6 million jobs are under the Big Three and all three automakers are at risk of losing money in 2009 if there is no assistance.

Julie Hirschfeld Davis for Associated Press reports that Democratic congressional leaders want to tap the $700 billion Wall Street rescue package for new loans to help the U.S. auto industry. However, President George W. Bush and GOP lawmakers instead propose diverting $25 billion in loans approved by Congress in September - originally for retrofitting their factories to make more fuel-efficient cars - to cover their urgent needs.

Catherine Rampell for The New York Times reports that the auto industry supports 1 out of every 10 jobs in the United States, according to a study. The study concludes that “new vehicle production, sales, and other jobs related to the use of automobiles are responsible for 1 out of every 10 jobs in the U.S economy.

The scope of this 2003 study was actually very broad and somewhat misleading. Although the 1/10 ratio is far-fetched, it is possible, but highly unlikely. It can’t be denied, though, that a failure of our auto industry would affect many individuals and economic areas, including retail (20% of retail spending is auto-related), industrial stocks, steel demand and more.

Wall Street is making a tepid advance today, as volatility and uncertainty rule the markets. Joel Del Bruno and Madlen Read for Associated Press report that many retail investors to the sidelines, while big institutional traders such as hedge funds keep major stock indexes vacillating. Many economists are calling out “recession” and this could be the worst one in decades.

Meanwhile, Henry Paulson, Secretary of Treasury, continues to support his stance on the $700 billion bailout and refuses to shift the funds toward the auto industry. Although having a U.S. auto company fail during such a fragile time for the economy would not be a “good thing,” Paulson told the House Financial Services Committee that he remains against diverting the bailout money, reports Jeannine Aversa for Associated Press.

Despite the Democrats call, and the Detroit’s Big Three, both Bernanke and Paulson are sticking to their opposition regarding a bailout of the auto industry and remain defensive on their strategy for their bailout plan.

They simply do not see the purpose of the Federal aid going to the auto industry, which the capital was intended for shaky financial markets that would, in turn, help stabilize the broader economy.

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1 Comments For This Post

  1. Gumby Says:

    GM and Ford agreed with UAW on concessions that would not be in effect until 2010 on “assumptions” that the car market would not get that bad as we see now.. Yet, Gettelfinger of UAW has not volunteered to move up concessions from 2010 to now as I feel that he should … Also, Japan had been buying dollars so to make Civics and Corollas more affordable to American car buyers stuffed with otherwisely worthless dollars… Will Japan keep on buying dollars once Japan finally dominates American car market with 80-90% market share? I dont think so but at least Japan will gradually reduce dollar buying as Civics and Corollas will gradually climb in prices so not to shock Americans over the years.. There will be no GM and Ford to compete against and it will be a homestretch run for Japan… Owners of used Japan cars will command higher prices to the perils of Americans… There will be so much more undesirable effects and impacts arising out of GM and Ford bankruptcy besides job losses and wiped out shareholders. Anybody who thinks they ought to stick it to UAW and shareholders will get hit by the boomerang effects …. Everyone will already run for covers and it will be the end of the story…

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