What ETF Investors Have On Their Minds

September 30, 2008 at 7:36 am by Tom Lydon

ETF Question and Answer

With all the news and uncertainty going on in the markets, many investors are wondering what to do with their exchange traded funds (ETFs) and their portfolios. Here are some questions that we’ve received from readers and wanted to share with all of you.

Now that the Dow has suffered its largest one-day point loss ever, as an ETF investor, what do I do?

We use and recommend a trend-following strategy, which involves being in those areas of the market that are trending higher and being out when they’re not. We get in only when a fund is above its 200-day moving average, while we get out when a fund drops 8% off its recent high or below the 200-day moving average.

Right now, very few areas are trending higher, and as a result we’re 100% in cash. We’re waiting for this storm to pass.

What if I’m a buy-and-hold investor?

Obviously, buy-and-hold investors are in it for the long-term, riding out those peaks and valleys. However, the recent market activity has to be making even the sturdiest buy-and-hold investor a little seasick as they wait for the markets to move higher once again. If you have this strategy, you don’t necessarily have to take this if it’s become too much for you. If it would make you feel more comfortable to sell all or part of a position while the volatility continues, do so. When the trends appear again and you’re ready, get back in.

How do I know when it’s time to get back into the markets?

Going back to our trend-following strategy, we wait until funds have moved above their 200-day moving average before we consider them. We look at other things too, such as diversity within the holdings, expense ratios, trading volume, fundamentals of the sector or area the fund represents, and so on. But above all else, a fund has to be above its long-term trend line.

What we don’t recommend doing is chasing performance, running from area to area, looking for the “hot” fund or trying to call the bottom of a tanking sector. For more detailed information on this strategy, read our trend-following report.

Is my money safe at the bank?

If your bank is FDIC-insured, it means that your account is protected for up to $100,000 per depositor (not per account, but per individual). The $100,000 amount applies to all depositors of an insured bank, except for owners of certain retirement accounts, which are insured up to $250,000 per owner, per insured bank.

Is my money market fund safe?

Ask your brokerage where your money is being held if you aren’t sure. If it’s in Treasuries, then your money may be safer than it would be in other types of funds. Some of the money market funds that “broke the buck” in recent weeks did so because of exposure to Lehman Brothers.

For our clients, we have selected the Schwab Government Money Fund, which invests in treasuries issued or guaranteed by the U.S. government, and it’s the safest money fund there.

Is my brokerage safe?

Your investments at your brokerage are insured by the Securities Investor Protection Corporation (SIPC), which is for both securities and cash, in the event of a broker-dealer failure. SIPC provides up to $500,000 of protection for each account.

Is this volatility ever going to end?

Yes. Over time, the overall trend of the markets is up, interrupted by periods of high volatility such as the one we’re in now. Eventually, we will recover from this, too, and we’ll begin to see areas that are once again moving higher.

Any other questions?

Leave us a comment, and we’ll get back to you with an answer!

Tags:

Share: DiggDigg | Del.icio.usBookmark at Del.icio.us | Tip'd

Subscribe to our RSS Feed

Click here to subscribe to our RSS feed

3 Comments For This Post

  1. TLy Says:

    What if I am an income investor? These ETFs are down so much now that the yields on them are in double digit range. Would it be wise to buy and hold now to get the benefits of higher yields?

    Thank you.

  2. Tom Lydon Says:

    Yes, the yields are higher, but please understand the value of the bonds can decline if the ratings on the bonds are down-graded or if the current credit situation gets worse.

  3. Bill Hungate Says:

    Tom, what about the short ETF’s in a Bear market such as this? Is there any reason we shouldn’t move some money into those ETF’s? Do your buy and exit guidelines apply to them? Are they different in any significant way from “normal” ETFs?

    Thank you,

    Bill Hungate

Leave a Reply

Subscribe to E-mail Newsletter

Enter your e-mail address below to sign up for our free e-mail newsletter, the Daily Market Update. We will never share your e-mail address with third parties.

ETF Analyzer

iMoney

ETF Trends' new book iMoney is now available. Click here for details. Or order online from one of these bookstores:
Amazon        Amazon

    • Steven Ely: Could you please tell me where I can get a list of Muni Bonds that are on a watch list. I am a very small...
    • Tom Lydon: Santosh, Closed-end funds are launched through an initial public offering that raises a fixed amount of...
    • Michael Russnow: You ought to look at the following short video produced in Cologne, Germany by TV Star Andreas...
    • Santosh: Can anyone tell me how how an actively traded ETF differ from a listed close ended mutual funds? How...
    • MurrayR: Oxford Club’s Alexander Green says making the switch from mutual funds to ETF funds can save thousands in...

Recent Podcast

Tom Lydon on Gaining an Edge with ETFs

 
 Tom Lydon on Gaining and Edge with ETFs: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download