Trouble In Financial World Weighs on ETFs, Global Markets

September 10, 2008 at 11:00 am by Tom Lydon

Financial exchange traded funds (ETFs) are smack in the middle of a rough week.

Lehman Brothers Holdings (LEH) said it plans to sell a majority stake in its investment management unit and spin off commercial real estate assets, reports Dan Wilchins for Reuters. This is after posting a third-quarter loss of $3.9 billion.

Analyst forecasts were for $88 million. Lehman lost $2.8 billion in the second quarter. ClusterStock for the Tech Ticker expressed frustration that Lehman is seemingly doing nothing about the losses aside from considering several strategic moves.

As Lehman’s problems ignited concerns around the world, global stocks fell toward two-year lows today.

In the S&P 500 Index, Fannie Mae (FNM) and Freddie Mac (FRE) are getting the boot, reports Eric Martin for Bloomberg. Shares for the mortgage giant have fallen below $1 apiece. They’ll be replaced by salesforce.com (CRM), the largest seller of Web-based customer-management software and Fastenal (FAST), the biggest U.S. retailer of nuts, bolts and other fasteners. Fannie and Freddie’s last day on the S&P will be today, and the new entrants will join after the close on Sept. 12.

Gary Gordon for ETF Expert wonders if someone knows something we don’t when it comes to financial ETFs, though. Coming off the market low of July 15, these ETFs have been up impressively:

  • Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF): up 23.6%; down 26.8% year-to-date
  • iShares Dow Jones U.S. Financial Services (IYG): up 29%; down 26.6% year-to-date

What’s going on? Gordon suggests insiders, as bank directors and financial execs bought $300 million of their own stock in May, June and July. This level of buying is the most since data aggregator Washington Service began compiling stats in 1986, report Linda Shen and Brett Gering for Bloomberg.

It could be confidence, or something else entirely - they aren’t “John Q. Public,” as Gordon notes.

Perhaps the Claymore/Sabrient Insider (NFO) fund, which has 15.9% of exposure to financial services, could be worth a look. The fund seeks to correspond to the performance of the Sabrient Insider Sentiment Index.

Despite their performance since mid-summer and the fact that insiders have bought them, most of these funds remain below their long-term trend lines. There’s no sense in trying to call a bottom or make predictions - wait until the trend shows up again in financials.

Meanwhile, KBW Regional Banks (KRE) has been bucking the trend nicely, up 53.2% since July 15 and it’s 3.9% above its 200-day moving average. It’s down 5.2% year-to-date. PowerShares Dynamic Banking (PJB) has also performed well since the market low, up 29.1% since then and up 3.9% year-to-date.

Tags: , , , , , ,

Share: DiggDigg | Del.icio.usBookmark at Del.icio.us | Tip'd

Subscribe to our RSS Feed

Click here to subscribe to our RSS feed

Leave a Reply

Subscribe to E-mail Newsletter

Enter your e-mail address below to sign up for our free e-mail newsletter, the Daily Market Update. We will never share your e-mail address with third parties.

ETF Analyzer

iMoney

ETF Trends' new book iMoney is now available. Click here for details. Or order online from one of these bookstores:
Amazon        Amazon

    • Steven Ely: Could you please tell me where I can get a list of Muni Bonds that are on a watch list. I am a very small...
    • Tom Lydon: Santosh, Closed-end funds are launched through an initial public offering that raises a fixed amount of...
    • Michael Russnow: You ought to look at the following short video produced in Cologne, Germany by TV Star Andreas...
    • Santosh: Can anyone tell me how how an actively traded ETF differ from a listed close ended mutual funds? How...
    • MurrayR: Oxford Club’s Alexander Green says making the switch from mutual funds to ETF funds can save thousands in...

Recent Podcast

Tom Lydon on Gaining an Edge with ETFs

 
 Tom Lydon on Gaining and Edge with ETFs: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download