Stronger Dollar Trounces Gold, Silver, Platinum ETFs

September 09, 2008 at 3:00 pm by Tom Lydon      Bookmark and Share

The rising value of the U.S. dollar is making precious metal exchange traded funds (ETFs) look a little less appealing.

Gold has now slumped to its lowest price in more than a year, following the government’s takeover of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, reports Feiwen Rong for Bloomberg.

The dollar index, meanwhile, rose to a one-year high, boosting the PowerShares DB US Dollar Index Bullish (UUP). UUP and SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) compared:

According to one commodity broker, the markets are torn between investing in gold ahead of the Indian wedding season and those selling gold as a result of the dollar’s strength.

According to ZEAL Speculation and Investment, Indian wedding season tends to cause a rally in gold prices in early October through late November. Families of Indian brides give them wedding gold in the form of 22-karat jewelry. India is the world’s largest consumer of gold, much of it in the form of jewelry, and about 40% of India’s gold demand occurs during this wedding season.

Morgan Stanley seems bearish on precious metals, cutting its price forecasts for both gold and silver. Analysts now say gold may average $900 an ounce in 2008 and $950 next year, down from forecasts of $950 this year and $1,000 next year.

Platinum futures have also fallen, to an 18-month low, and palladium stepped back as the dollar hit an 11-month high against the euro, reports Dave McCombs for Bloomberg. Low demand for autos is blamed, because platinum and palladium are used in emissions systems.

Other ETFs affected include:

  • PowerShares DB Gold Double Short ET (DZZ), up 44.8% since Feb. 28
  • iShares Silver Trust (SLV), down 18.7% year-to-date
  • iPath DJ AIG Platinum TR Sub-Index ETN (PGM), down 31% since July 8 inception
  • ELEMENTS MLCX Precious Metals ETN (PMY), down 24.2% since April 4 incpetion

For full disclosure, some of Tom Lydon’s clients own shares of UUP.

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  • Tim
    A few posts on shorts would be greatly appreciated, as that is the only way it seems not to lose your shirt at this point.

    A few questions I have: Are the big banks recapitilizing themselves by going after one market after another & wiping out Americans' retirement savings, right after they've wiped out Americans' housing wealth & caused them to lose their jobs as well? Where have the big banks sudddenly gotten the hundreds of billions to short? Is the FED not only giving the banks taxpayer dollars via the FED open window to short viciously, but if that doesn't succeed, then bailing them out one Friday after another at taxpayer expense?

    According to the federal government's own report, JP Morgan has $79 TRILLION in derivative exposure, how much of that is toxic & are the taxpayer's supposed to bail that out as well?

    http://www.occ.treas.gov/ftp/deriv/dq207.pdf

    JP Morgan in the COT futures reports by the way is the most likely candidate in shorting on paper 128,000,000 ounces of silver in the last several weeks as well as several tons of paper gold. If those shorts had gone wrong would the taxpayers have been bailing JP out?

    Sickening. Jim Rogers' comments that this is socialism for the rich is right. And his comment that America is more communist than China is right as well.

    When are we going to see some of the wealthy bankers who've caused this mess PUT IN A GOVERNMENT CAGE?
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