Potash’s Positive Fundamentals Fertilize Agribusiness ETF

July 09, 2008 at 1:00 pm by Tom Lydon      Bookmark and Share

It’s been a nice day for both potash producers and agricultural exchange traded funds (ETFs).

A Goldman Sachs analyst said prices for the fertilizer are rising as a result of global demand and limited availability, since few countries produce it, reports the Associated Press. Farmers want to maximize their yield and profit, and the analyst says it’s all pointing to positive fundamentals. In North America, prices have shot up 45.9% year-to-date.

The top potash-producing countries are Canada (32%), Russia (31%) and western Europe (19%).

The strongest consumers of potash are the BRIC countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China), which account for 43% of the global potash market, and demand is growing at 5% per year. Prices could double over the next two to three years as food demand increases, too, reports Theresa Tang for Bloomberg.

Potash is an impure form of potassium carbonate, and has been used since the 1300s in the manufacture of glass and soap, and as a fertilizer. Fertilizers that contain it improve crop yield by assisting plants in absorbing nitrogen and using water and sunlight more efficiently. It also helps plants fight insects and disease.

Companies highly tied to potash include Mosaic (MOS), Agrium (AGU), Intrepid Potash and Potash Corp. (POT).

Market Vectors Global Agribusiness (MOO) traded higher today, based largely on the analyst’s forecast, as the fund’s top two holdings are potash companies: Mosaic is 8.1%, while Potash Corp. is 8.4%. MOO is down 2.1% year-to-date.

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  • Michael Baccich
    Interested in short and ultra short agribusiness ETF symbols. Like the inverse of MOO. Please provide if such an ETF exist.
  • Tom Lydon
    Michael,

    There are some short agriculture and commodity ETNs available, which launched earlier this year:

    DB Agriculture Double Short ETN (AGA)
    DB Agriculture Short ETN (ADZ)
    DB Commodity Double Short ETN (DEE)
    DB Commodity Short ETN (DDP)
    PowerShares DB Agriculture Double Long ETN (DAG)
    PowerShares DB Agriculture Long ETN (AGF)
    PowerShares DB Commodity Double Long ETN (DYY)
    PowerShares DB Commodity Long ETN (DPU)

    Thanks for your comment!
  • Blue
    What is the best ETF to participate in overall commodities?
  • Tom Lydon
    Hi Blue,

    There are a number of broad-based and targeted commodities ETFs. The largest broad ones are:

    * iShares S&P; GSCI Commodity Indexed Trust (GSG) tracks a broad index of 24 commodities weighted according to the proportion of the commodity flowing through the economy. Almost half of the index reflects crude oil, and the balance is split between other energy products such as natural gas as well as agricultural commodities, industrial and precious metals, and livestock.
    * An even more diversified commodity play is the iPath Dow Jones-AIG Commodity Index Fund ETN (DJP), which tracks an index that comprises 30% energy, 30% agricultural, 20% industrial metals, 10% livestock and 10% precious metals.
    * PowerShares DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund (DBC) tracks the futures for a simplified index of just six commodities: corn, crude oil, gold, heating oil, aluminum and wheat.

    Which one is "best" depends on the kind of exposure you'd like to certain areas, as well as your overall portfolio and goals.

    For more information about commodities investing, our special report has a lot of information:
    http://www.etftrends.com/2008/05/commodity-spec...
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