Using the Moving Average When Investing In ETFs

April 21, 2008 at 1:00 pm by Tom Lydon

23294286 Some investors want to use exchange traded funds (ETFs) to exploit short-term movements in the markets.

Loren Fleckenstein for Trading Markets gives a primer on using 10-day and 30-day moving averages and the crossovers as a signal of a trend change.

The crossover occurs when a shorter moving average (the 10 day, in this case) traverses the longer moving average. But Fleckenstein says this information shouldn’t be considered alone. Instead, consider price breakouts and volume as confirmation of a trend shift.

Cross05240001

One example can be seen in the chart above: while the 10-day line is well above the 30-day, volume fell - an indication that the market wasn’t convinced that there was an uptrend.

This strategy differs from how we manage money. We let each sector, asset class and global region identify its own trend and when something crosses above its 200-day moving average, we consider that the time to buy.

With regard to volatility, there’s nothing magical about the 200-day moving average. If the markets are rocking and rolling, you can consider the 50-day moving average. Bear in mind that it will be more sensitive to movements and it could mean you’ll be trading more.

Some might find a 10- or 30-day moving average is a bit too short-term for their tastes. It would require much more discipline, and for the average investor, it wouldn’t work.

Subscribe to our RSS Feed

Click here to subscribe to our RSS feed

Leave a Reply

Subscribe to E-mail Newsletter

Enter your e-mail address below to sign up for our free e-mail newsletter, the Daily Market Update. We will never share your e-mail address with third parties.

    • Shanker Menon: Some ETFs do not fully replicate the index but take a sampling like Ishare MSCI Singapore. What...
    • Berto: Interesting, I might want to update my page linked here. Buying gold is a great idea, but not everyone knows...
    • Tom Lydon: Hi Mike, The gold ETFs are one of the few above their trend lines at the moment. They’re worth a...
    • mike spenser: are the gold ETF ok? GLD etc.,
    • Tom Lydon: Hi Steve, Our strategy is to sell 8% off the high or below the 200-day moving average. If you did this...

Recent Podcast

Tom Lydon Talks About New Frontiers for ETFs

 
 Tom Lydon Talks About New Frontiers for ETFs: Play Now | Play in Popup | Download